Empoli vs Venezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli).

Serie B - Round 8
Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	1.33
Ball Possession
31%	69%
Total shots
9	16
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
69% (162/234)	88% (489/553)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	1.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.41	1.66
Total shots
9	16
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
1	8
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
4	8
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
13	22
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	16
Passes
69% (162/234)	88% (489/553)
Long passes
42% (23/55)	48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
67% (56/83)	76% (133/175)
Crosses
8% (2/25)	18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	1.30
Throw-ins
15	20
Fouls
16	9
Tackles
50% (9/18)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
46	48
Clearances
38	23
Interceptions
1	3
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
1.66	1.41
Goals prevented
0.66	0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Adorante A. ⚽, Hainaut A. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Shpendi S. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Ilie R. 🟨,
55', Ilie R. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
55', Ceesay J. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
58', Adorante A. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
60', Pellegri P. 🟨,
65', Elia S. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
65', Shpendi S. ↓, Saporiti E. ↑,
72', Bjarkason B. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
72', Casas A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
72', Hainaut A. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
76', Ghion A. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
84', Sverko M. ↓, Franjic B. ↑,
85', Obaretin N. 🟨,
90+4', Franjic B. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/34vdhtm7

Chances of winning

Empoli
31.5%

Draw
31.4%

Venezia
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

29.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Empoli aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Empoli - Venezia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.89)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)	6.2% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Empoli - Venezia?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Venezia will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 0.
In recent matches, Empoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Venezia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Empoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Venezia: Conde C. (Broken Leg) Franjic B. (Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Venezia?

Empoli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Empoli?

Venezia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Venezia were as follows:

20.04.2025 Empoli - Venezia 2:2

04.01.2025 Venezia - Empoli 1:1

Latest results of Empoli

05.10.2025 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli 1:2 ✺

01.10.2025 Empoli - Monza 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Empoli - Carrarese 2:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Genoa - Empoli 3:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Pescara - Empoli 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Venezia

04.10.2025 Venezia - Frosinone 3:0 ✺

30.09.2025 Palermo - Venezia 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Venezia - Spezia 2:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Verona - Venezia 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Venezia - Cesena 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	28	18	6	4	58:25	33	60
2	Monza	28	18	6	4	44:21	23	60
3	Frosinone	28	15	10	3	52:28	24	55
4	Palermo	28	15	9	4	48:22	26	54
5	Catanzaro	28	12	10	6	42:32	10	46
6	Modena	28	12	7	9	37:24	13	43
7	Juve Stabia	28	9	13	6	32:32	0	40
8	Cesena	28	11	5	12	36:41	-5	38
9	Sudtirol	28	8	13	7	31:28	3	37
10	Padova	28	8	10	10	30:35	-5	34
11	Carrarese	28	7	11	10	35:40	-5	32
12	Empoli	28	7	10	11	34:39	-5	31
13	Sampdoria	28	7	9	12	29:37	-8	30
14	Avellino	28	7	9	12	30:46	-16	30
15	Reggiana	28	7	8	13	29:40	-11	29
16	Entella	28	6	10	12	26:40	-14	28
17	Bari	28	6	10	12	25:40	-15	28
18	Mantova	28	7	6	15	28:44	-16	27
19	Spezia	28	6	8	14	25:37	-12	26
20	Pescara	28	4	10	14	34:54	-20	22

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation