Empoli vs Venezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli).

Serie B - Round 8
Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	1.33
Ball Possession
31%	69%
Total shots
9	16
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
69% (162/234)	88% (489/553)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	1.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.41	1.66
Total shots
9	16
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
1	8
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
4	8
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
13	22
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	16
Passes
69% (162/234)	88% (489/553)
Long passes
42% (23/55)	48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
67% (56/83)	76% (133/175)
Crosses
8% (2/25)	18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	1.30
Throw-ins
15	20
Fouls
16	9
Tackles
50% (9/18)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
46	48
Clearances
38	23
Interceptions
1	3
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	6
xGOT faced
1.66	1.41
Goals prevented
0.66	0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Adorante A. ⚽, Hainaut A. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Shpendi S. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Ilie R. 🟨,
55', Ilie R. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
55', Ceesay J. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
58', Adorante A. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
60', Pellegri P. 🟨,
65', Elia S. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
65', Shpendi S. ↓, Saporiti E. ↑,
72', Bjarkason B. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
72', Casas A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
72', Hainaut A. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
76', Ghion A. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
84', Sverko M. ↓, Franjic B. ↑,
85', Obaretin N. 🟨,
90+4', Franjic B. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/34vdhtm7

Chances of winning

Empoli
31.5%

Draw
31.4%

Venezia
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

29.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Empoli aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Empoli - Venezia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.89)	2.97 ↓ (3.08)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)	6.2% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Empoli - Venezia?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Venezia will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 0.
In recent matches, Empoli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Venezia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Empoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Venezia: Conde C. (Broken Leg) Franjic B. (Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Venezia?

Empoli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Empoli?

Venezia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Venezia were as follows:

20.04.2025 Empoli - Venezia 2:2

04.01.2025 Venezia - Empoli 1:1

Latest results of Empoli

05.10.2025 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli 1:2 ✺

01.10.2025 Empoli - Monza 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Empoli - Carrarese 2:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Genoa - Empoli 3:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Pescara - Empoli 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Venezia

04.10.2025 Venezia - Frosinone 3:0 ✺

30.09.2025 Palermo - Venezia 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Venezia - Spezia 2:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Verona - Venezia 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Venezia - Cesena 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	32	20	8	4	64:27	37	68
2	Frosinone	32	18	11	3	62:32	30	65
3	Monza	32	19	8	5	50:26	24	65
4	Palermo	32	17	10	5	52:27	25	61
5	Catanzaro	31	14	10	7	49:38	11	52
6	Modena	31	14	8	9	42:25	17	50
7	Juve Stabia	32	10	15	7	38:38	0	45
8	Cesena	32	12	7	13	41:47	-6	43
9	Carrarese	32	9	12	11	41:42	-1	39
10	Avellino	32	10	9	13	37:51	-14	39
11	Sudtirol	32	8	14	10	34:35	-1	38
12	Empoli	32	8	12	12	43:47	-4	36
13	Padova	32	8	10	14	32:43	-11	34
14	Mantova	32	9	7	16	36:48	-12	34
15	Sampdoria	32	8	10	14	31:43	-12	34
16	Entella	32	8	10	14	31:45	-14	34
17	Bari	32	7	10	15	30:50	-20	31
18	Spezia	32	7	9	16	31:46	-15	30
19	Reggiana	32	7	9	16	30:49	-19	30
20	Pescara	32	6	11	15	43:58	-15	29

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation