Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 3
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (172/225) | 89% (540/610) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (172/225) | 89% (540/610) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 55% (18/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (47/75) | 73% (72/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Tiritiello A. ⚽, Guiu B. (A),
- 32', Mantovani V. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
- 38', Franzoni A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Fumagalli T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Mancuso L. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 59', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 59', Fiori A. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
- 65', Fumagalli T. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 65', Guiu B. ↓, Ankeye D. ↑,
- 74', Di Mario S. 🟨,
- 75', Del Lungo T. ↓, Parodi L. ↑,
- 75', Wieser D. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
- 85', Dalla Vecchia M. ↓, Karic N. ↑,
- 85', Di Mario S. ↓, Boccadamo A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Virtus Entella
49.9% | Draw
29.2% | Mantova
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Virtus Entella - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.07) |
3.35 ↑
(3.22) |
4.75 ↑
(3.73) |
2.2%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtus Entella: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Virtus Entella (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Virtus Entella has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mantova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Virtus Entella could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Lipani J.
(Foot Injury)
Siaulys O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mantova: Artioli F.
(Inactive)
Maggioni T.
(Inactive)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Mantova?
Virtus Entella has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Virtus Entella?
Mantova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Entella - Mantova were as follows:
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
