Result
1:0
10/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 19
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (217/310) | 79% (380/478) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (217/310) | 79% (380/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (19/64) | 40% (27/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (47/87) | 73% (111/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 31% (11/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Balde K. 🟨,
- 41', Colombo L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Colombo L. ↓, Hernani ↑,
- 58', Delli Carri F. 🟨,
- 61', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
- 62', Ciurria P. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 62', Balde K. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
- 68', Ravanelli L. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
- 77', Debenedetti A. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
- 77', Karic N. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Franzoni A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', Di Mario S. ↓, Portanova D. ↑,
- 87', Guiu B. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
- 90', Lucchesi L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Alborghetti M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Virtus Entella
23.4% | Draw
29% | Monza
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Virtus Entella - Monza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.99 ↓
(4.08) |
3.2
(3.2) |
1.97 ↑
(1.91) |
7.2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella - Monza?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Monza (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Monza will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Virtus Entella is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Monza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Monza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Monza is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Boccadamo A.
(Inactive)
Del Lungo T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Monza: Caprari G.
(Inactive)
Colpani A.
(Inactive)
Forson O.
(Knee Injury)
Galazzi N.
(Inactive)
Izzo A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Monza: Obiang P.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Monza?
Virtus Entella has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Virtus Entella?
Monza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Entella - Monza were as follows:
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 47 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Monza | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Palermo | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Modena | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 34 |
| 6 | Cesena | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 8 | Catanzaro | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Empoli | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Avellino | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27:35 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Padova | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Entella | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:29 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Spezia | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19:29 | -10 | 20 |
| 18 | Mantova | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 20 |
| 19 | Bari | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 20 |
| 20 | Pescara | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 27:44 | -17 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
