Result
0:1
07/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 29
- Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (266/373) | 63% (163/258) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (266/373) | 63% (163/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (31/78) | 40% (31/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (109/172) | 49% (36/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/29) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 38 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Kofler R. 🟨,
- 32', Marconi I. 🟨,
- 38', Bariti D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Zedadka K. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
- 54', Crnigoj D. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
- 71', Pecorino E. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
- 71', Kofler R. ↓, Veseli F. ↑,
- 71', Di Mario S. ↓, Turicchia R. ↑,
- 72', Bariti D. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Marconi I. ⚽, Squizzato N. (A),
- 80', Casiraghi D. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
- 81', Cuppone L. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
- 81', Benedetti L. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
- 85', Dalla Vecchia M. ↓, Alborghetti M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
53% | Draw
29% | Virtus Entella
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Südtirol-Alto Adige's performance.Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Entella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Südtirol-Alto Adige that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(2.13) |
3.22 ↓
(3.23) |
5.21 ↑
(3.33) |
6.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Südtirol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Südtirol is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Inactive)
Odogwu R.
(Inactive)
Pietrangeli N.
(Inactive)
Veseli F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Karic N.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Südtirol: Cragno A.
(Injury)
Frigerio M. R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Mezzoni F.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Virtus Entella?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Virtus Entella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella were as follows:
21.12.2025
Virtus Entella
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
