Result
1:2
20/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (249/355) | 72% (267/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (249/355) | 72% (267/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (27/66) | 30% (18/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (57/95) | 67% (90/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Kamiya Yuta 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Erik ⚽,
- 38', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Miyamoto E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', 0 - 2, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Sasaki D. (A),
- 66', Kimura T. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 66', Yanagi T. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 73', Hirose R. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
- 77', Lucao ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 77', Fujita I. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
- 81', Nagato K. ↓, Honda Y. ↑,
- 81', Erik ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,
- 87', Sakai G. ↓, Kuwasaki Y. ↑,
- 87', Miyashiro T. ↓, Yamauchi K. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Esaka A. ⚽, Kudo K. (A),
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama
19% | Draw
27.3% | Vissel Kobe
53.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+1%)
Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.96 ↑
(4.7) |
3.45 ↓
(3.53) |
1.76 ↑
(1.73) |
5.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Vissel Kobe (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vissel Kobe will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vissel Kobe will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Vissel Kobe (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In recent matches, Okayama has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vissel Kobe is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Vissel Kobe is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Hamasaki K.
(Inactive)
Muto Y.
(Back Injury)
Tominaga N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Jean Patric
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Vissel Kobe?
Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Fagiano Okayama?
Vissel Kobe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe were as follows:
03.05.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Fagiano Okayama
2:0
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
