Result
0:2
18/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 27
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 39 | 35 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (297/371) | 76% (234/307) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (80/132) | 62% (48/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 31% (4/13) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 53% (8/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Abankwah J. 🟨,
- 4', 0 - 1, Louza I. ⚽,
- 19', Elder C. 🟨,
- 31', Ngakia J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Dele-Bashiru T. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
- 62', Jackson K. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
- 63', Ngakia J. ↓, Larouci Y. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 2, Kayembe E. ⚽, Sissoko M. (A),
- 74', Elder C. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
- 74', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 74', Goudmijn K. ↓, Harness M. ↑,
- 76', Abankwah J. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
- 78', Baah K. ↓, Ogbonna A. ↑,
- 81', Wilson K. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 90+1', Sierralta F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derby County
42.3% | Draw
28.9% | Watford
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Derby County - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.45) |
3.29 ↓
(3.42) |
3.3 ↑
(2.8) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Watford?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Watford will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
- Derby is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Watford has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Derby will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Derby: Cashin E.
(Muscle Injury)
Nyambe R.
(Knee Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Bachmann D.
(Ankle Injury)
Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
Keben K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Derby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:17 (average 2:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Watford?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Derby County?
Watford has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Watford were as follows:
24.08.2024
Watford
-
Derby County
2:1
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
