Result
0:2
18/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 27
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Hungary | Net4+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.25 | 2.25 |
Ball Possession |
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56% | 44% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
15 | 16 |
Shots on Goal |
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3 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
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9 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
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15 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
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0 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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3 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 11 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Fouls |
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11 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
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26 | 23 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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39 | 35 |
Passes |
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80% (297/371) | 76% (234/307) |
Passes in the final third |
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61% (80/132) | 62% (48/78) |
Crosses |
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33% (11/33) | 31% (4/13) |
Tackles |
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75% (18/24) | 53% (8/15) |
Clearances Total |
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32 | 38 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Abankwah J. 🟨,
- 4', 0 - 1, Louza I. ⚽,
- 19', Elder C. 🟨,
- 31', Ngakia J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Dele-Bashiru T. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
- 62', Jackson K. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
- 63', Ngakia J. ↓, Larouci Y. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 2, Kayembe E. ⚽, Sissoko M. (A),
- 74', Elder C. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
- 74', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 74', Goudmijn K. ↓, Harness M. ↑,
- 76', Abankwah J. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
- 78', Baah K. ↓, Ogbonna A. ↑,
- 81', Wilson K. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 90+1', Sierralta F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derby County 42.3% | Draw 28.9% | Watford 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Derby County - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↓ (2.45) |
3.29 ↓ (3.42) |
3.3 ↑ (2.8) |
5.3% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Watford?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Watford will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 1.
- Derby is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Watford has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Derby will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Derby: Cashin E.
(Muscle Injury)
Nyambe R.
(Knee Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Bachmann D.
(Ankle Injury)
Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
Keben K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Derby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:17 (average 2:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Watford?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Derby County?
Watford has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Watford were as follows:
24.08.2024
Watford
-
Derby County
2:1
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One