Zagłębie Lubin vs Legia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw
Result
0:3
08/12/2024 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 18
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.241.87
Ball Possession
64%36%
Goal Attempts
1612
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
93
Blocked Shots
34
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
74
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
177
Offsides
11
Fouls
717
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1722
Touches in the Opposition Box
2826
Passes
80% (371/461)63% (171/270)
Passes in the final third
74% (92/125)56% (45/81)
Crosses
22% (7/32)43% (3/7)
Tackles
73% (11/15)71% (20/28)
Clearances Total
2430
Interceptions
109

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Sergio Barcia , Chodyna K. (A),
  • 26', 0 - 2, Kapustka B. (Pen),
  • 31', 0 - 3, Morishita R. , Luquinhas (A),
  • 45+1', Sergio Barcia 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Augustyniak R. , Celhaka J. ,
  • 46', Makowski T. , Dziewiatowski M. ,
  • 50', Orlikowski I. 🟨,
  • 62', Sergio Barcia , Ziolkowski J. ,
  • 66', Pienko T. , Mikolajewski D. ,
  • 78', Chodyna K. , Szczepaniak M. ,
  • 78', Gual M. , Alfarela M. ,
  • 83', Kun P. 🟨,
  • 85', Kapustka B. , Goncalves C. ,
  • 85', Kludka B. , Kusztal P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zagłębie Lubin
24.9%
Draw
24.9%
Legia Warsaw
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 26% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6% 24.8% 51.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.77
    (3.78)
    3.76
    (3.59)
    1.87
    (1.9)
    6.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Legia will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 54.1%91.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 0.
    • Zagłębie Lubin is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Legia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Legia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Legia have a series of guest games.
    • Legia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Nalepa M. (Red Card) Szmyt K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Legia: Elitim J. (Knee Injury) Leszczynski J. (Knee Injury) Mustafaev R. (Knee Injury) Oyedele M. (Ankle Injury) Tobiasz K. (Injury) Urbanski W. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Injury) Radwanski A. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Lubin won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 21:40 (average 1.1:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9:20 (average 1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    20.07.2024 Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin 2:0
    25.05.2024 Legia Warsaw - Zagłębie Lubin 2:1
    03.12.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 0:3
    04.02.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    01.12.2024 Stal Mielec - Legia Warsaw 2:2
    28.11.2024 Omonia - Legia Warsaw 0:3
    23.11.2024 Legia Warsaw - Cracovia 3:2
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock33006:159
    2Cracovia22006:156
    3Widzew Lodz32016:336
    4Gornik Zabrze32014:316
    5Lech Poznan32017:8-16
    6Radomiak Radom21106:244
    7Termalica B-B31115:324
    8Pogon Szczecin31116:7-14
    9Legia11002:023
    10Rakow21012:203
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13Zaglebie30213:4-12
    14Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    15GKS Katowice30122:6-41
    16Korona Kielce30121:5-41
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

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          Relegation ~ Division 1