Result
3:1
19/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 12
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (229/304) | 87% (500/578) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (229/304) | 87% (500/578) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 50% (26/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/92) | 76% (138/181) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Piatkowski K. (Own goal),
- 45', Piatkowski K. 🟥,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Rocha L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kapustka B. ↓, Pankov R. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 1, Szmyt K. (Own goal),
- 61', Dziewiatowski M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 61', Regula M. ↓, Corluka J. ↑,
- 61', Rocha L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 65', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
- 77', Hladun D. ↓, Buric J. ↑,
- 84', Urbanski K. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 85', Krasniqi E. 🟨,
- 88', Sypek J. 🟨,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, Sypek J. ⚽, Lucic L. (A),
- 90+6', Szymanski D. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 90+6', Elitim J. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
- 90+8', Makowski T. ↓, Wozniak A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
24.5% | Draw
25.7% | Legia Warsaw
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2%)
Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↑
(3.8) |
3.64 ↓
(3.95) |
1.88 ↓
(1.92) |
6.5%
(3.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Legia will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 0.
- Zagłębie Lubin is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Legia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Zagłębie Lubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Legia is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H.
(Muscle Injury)
Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:43. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:23. (average 0.8:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Legia Warsaw?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Legia Warsaw has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
08.12.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Legia Warsaw
0:3
20.07.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
25.05.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:1
03.12.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Legia Warsaw
0:3
04.02.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Legia Warsaw
1:2
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
