Moreirense vs Tondela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 16
  • Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalTVI

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.420.49
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
22
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
42
Passes
86% (481/559)84% (333/398)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.420.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.710.12
Total shots
78
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
33
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
44
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free kicks
137
Passes
86% (481/559)84% (333/398)
Long passes
42% (22/52)38% (26/69)
Passes in final third
67% (84/125)64% (65/101)
Crosses
20% (3/15)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.64
Throw ins
1819
Fouls
713
Tackles
67% (4/6)71% (5/7)
Duels won
4226
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.120.71
Goals prevented
0.12-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Hodge J. 🟨,
  • 42', Assis A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Teguia C. , Landerson ,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Maracas , Alanzinho (A),
  • 67', Hodge J. , Aiko M. ,
  • 69', Assis A. , Stjepanovic M. ,
  • 69', Semedo L. , Yan Maranhao ,
  • 76', Michel , Marcelo ,
  • 76', Kiko Bondoso , Batista G. ,
  • 77', Rodriguez J. , Rodrigues A. ,
  • 77', Felix H. , Sithole S. ,
  • 82', Cicero , Tavares H. ,
  • 82', Bebeto , Conceicao R. ,

Chances of winning


Moreirense
41.4%
Draw
30.6%
Tondela
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 29.7% 28.9%

Moreirense - Tondela Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.27
(2.28)
3.08
(3.18)
3.35
(3.26)
6.4%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Tondela?
  • Users Predictions: Moreirense will win (35 of 38 users predict this - 92.11%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.54%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Moreirense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Moreirense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Moreirense: Jorquera Romero J. (Ankle Injury) Pinto D. (Yellow Cards) Sousa V. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Moreirense: Ofori L. (Inactive) Yan Maranhao (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Tondela were as follows:
    14.11.2022 Tondela - Moreirense 1:1
    Latest results of Moreirense
    03.01.2026 AVS - Moreirense 0:2
    14.12.2025 Moreirense - Benfica 0:4
    07.12.2025 Estoril Praia - Moreirense 3:3
    29.11.2025 Moreirense - Famalicão 2:2
    Latest results of Tondela
    03.01.2026 Tondela - Arouca 3:1
    21.12.2025 Tondela - Casa Pia 1:2
    15.12.2025 Nacional - Tondela 3:1
    07.12.2025 Tondela - Porto 0:2
    29.11.2025 Gil Vicente - Tondela 0:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto17161036:43249
    2Sporting CP17133147:93842
    3Benfica17116036:112539
    4Gil Vicente1777322:121028
    5Braga1776431:181327
    6Moreirense1783624:24027
    7Vitoria Guimaraes1774618:22-425
    8Famalicao1765620:14623
    9Estoril1755728:29-120
    10Rio Ave1748522:29-720
    11Alverca1762917:27-1020
    12Estrela1747623:27-419
    13Santa Clara1745814:19-517
    14Nacional1745821:26-517
    15Casa Pia1735917:32-1514
    16Arouca1735918:42-2414
    17Tondela17331112:29-1712
    18AFS17041311:43-324

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