Result
1:2
24/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 38
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (355/431) | 79% (352/445) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (355/431) | 79% (352/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/67) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (58/86) | 72% (96/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Haen D. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
- 32', Rossi N. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Verheydt T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Verheydt T. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
- 46', Sunderland L. ↓, Bae S. ↑,
- 65', Rossi N. ↓, Afaker M. ↑,
- 65', Mica Pinto ↓, Codutti L. ↑,
- 69', Plug J. 🟨,
- 73', Afaker M. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Venema N. ⚽, van Aken J. (A),
- 82', van Vianen D. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Twigt C. ⚽, Culum A. (A),
- 85', Stam F. 🟨,
- 85', Carrillo S. 🟨,
- 86', El Allouchi M. ↓, Tjoe a On N. ↑,
- 90+5', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dordrecht 36.8% | Draw 25.9% | Willem II 37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1%)
Dordrecht - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.55 ↓ (2.65) |
3.6 ↑ (3.5) |
2.51 ↑ (2.45) |
6.8% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Dordrecht - Willem II?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Willem II will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Willem II is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 1.
- Recent form of Dordrecht has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Willem II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Willem II has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Dordrecht: Hardley B.
(Muscle Injury)
Hilton J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Dordrecht: Malasomma M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Ciranni A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dordrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:35. (average 1.1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dordrecht won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.5:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Dordrecht won against Willem II?
Dordrecht has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Dordrecht?
Willem II has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dordrecht - Willem II were as follows:
06.12.2025
Willem II
-
Dordrecht
2:0
30.10.2025
Willem II
-
Dordrecht
7:0
24.05.2025
Willem II
-
Dordrecht
4:2
21.05.2025
Dordrecht
-
Willem II
2:1
13.07.2024
Dordrecht
-
Willem II
4:4
Latest results of Dordrecht
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )