Result
0:1
13/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 14
- Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (318/374) | 88% (421/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (318/374) | 88% (421/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 58% (28/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 82% (120/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Vrousai M. 🟨,
- 26', Maga 🟨,
- 29', Petrasso F. 🟨,
- 29', Vrousai M. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Camara O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Maga ↓, Strata T. ↑,
- 46', Petrasso F. ↓, Brabec J. ↑,
- 46', Pohlmann O. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
- 59', Arcanjo T. ↓, Samu ↑,
- 60', Abascal R. 🟨,
- 63', Beni 🟨,
- 67', Beni ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
- 67', Ndoye A. ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
- 70', Clayton 🟨,
- 74', Saviolo N. ↓, Felix V. ↑,
- 79', Abbey N. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
- 79', Nikitscher T. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
- 89', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
- 90+1', Felix V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave 30.4% | Draw 29.3% | Vitoria Guimarães 40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.13 ↑ (2.53) |
3.22 ↓ (3.3) |
2.36 ↓ (2.77) |
5.5% (6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Guimarães will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1.
- In recent matches, Rio Ave has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guimarães is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T.
(Knee Injury)
Ntoi A.
(Yellow Cards)
Rafael Lobato
(Inactive)
Richards O.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Guimarães: Nogueira G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Rio Ave?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
27.04.2025
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Rio Ave
3:0
16.12.2024
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
04.05.2024
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:1
23.12.2023
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Rio Ave
1:0
15.07.2023
Rio Ave
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 16 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 35:4 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 46:8 | 38 | 41 |
| 3 | Benfica | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 33:10 | 23 | 36 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Braga | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:13 | 7 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Estoril | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Estrela | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19:28 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Alverca | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Nacional | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 14 |
| 16 | Arouca | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17:39 | -22 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:27 | -18 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11:41 | -30 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2