Result
0:2
14/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 13
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 78', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sofapaka
26.5% | Draw
37.5% | Tusker
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofapaka's form might have worsened.Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofapaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Sofapaka - Tusker Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↑
(2.63) |
2.41 ↓
(2.82) |
2.51 ↓
(2.63) |
10.6%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Sofapaka - Tusker?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tusker (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 1.
- Sofapaka has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tusker's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sofapaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:37. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.8:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Tusker?
Sofapaka has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Sofapaka?
Tusker has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Tusker were as follows:
18.05.2025
Sofapaka
-
Tusker
7:1
24.08.2024
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
1:0
14.01.2024
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
3:1
28.10.2023
Sofapaka
-
Tusker
0:1
09.04.2023
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
2:0
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
