Result
0:0
18/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Tusker
53.5% | Draw
29.8% | Sofapaka
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-13.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tusker that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Tusker - Sofapaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.73) |
3.03 ↑
(2.96) |
5.38 ↓
(5.6) |
11%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 4.
- In recent matches, Tusker has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sofapaka has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sofapaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tusker is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:25. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tusker won against Sofapaka?
Tusker has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Tusker?
Sofapaka has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tusker - Sofapaka were as follows:
14.12.2025
Sofapaka
-
Tusker
0:2
18.05.2025
Sofapaka
-
Tusker
7:1
24.08.2024
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
1:0
14.01.2024
Tusker
-
Sofapaka
3:1
28.10.2023
Sofapaka
-
Tusker
0:1
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 64 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 43:31 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 30 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
