Result
3:2
22/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (269/345) | 74% (225/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (269/345) | 74% (225/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/66) | 51% (32/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (72/112) | 62% (70/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 24% (7/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Caicedo E. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
- 37', Carcelen Carabali M. A. 🟨,
- 39', Becerra K. 🟨,
- 39', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Ontaneda J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 1, Caicedo E. ⚽, Ayovi W. (A),
- 54', Garcia A. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 2, Almagro A. ⚽,
- 65', Zambrano C. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 2, Caicedo E. ⚽, Zambrano I. (A),
- 73', Bravo J. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 73', Ayovi W. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 75', Almagro A. ↓, Uchuari J. ↑,
- 75', Ontaneda J. ↓, Spina A. L. ↑,
- 75', Mina A. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
- 79', Spina A. L. 🟨,
- 83', Uchuari J. ↓, Montenegro B. ↑,
- 86', Biojo R. 🟨,
- 88', Caicedo E. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 88', Arboleda C. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 90+2', Spina A. L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
37.9% | Draw
28.1% | SD Aucas
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Libertad Loja - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.49) |
3.35 ↑
(3.28) |
2.82 ↑
(2.78) |
6.4%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - SD Aucas?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Aucas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against SD Aucas?
Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Libertad Loja?
SD Aucas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - SD Aucas were as follows:
05.05.2025
SD Aucas
-
Libertad Loja
2:0
26.10.2024
Libertad Loja
-
SD Aucas
1:1
04.09.2024
SD Aucas
-
Libertad Loja
0:1
05.05.2024
SD Aucas
-
Libertad Loja
2:0
27.08.2023
SD Aucas
-
Libertad Loja
1:2
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
