Result
3:0
05/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (450/523) | 72% (213/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (450/523) | 72% (213/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 31% (19/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (182/228) | 51% (46/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', Quinones J. 🟥,
- 18', 1 - 0, Komi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Yamauchi H. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
- 46', David D. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
- 61', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Sugioka D. ↑,
- 61', Koizumi Y. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
- 66', Yuri Araujo ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
- 66', Croux J. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 71', Hosoya M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
- 79', Kimura R. ↓, Park Il-gyu ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Inoue T. (Own goal),
- 82', 3 - 0, Nakama H. ⚽, Segawa Y. (A),
- 85', Kubo T. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
- 86', Kimura T. ↓, Asada H. ↑,
- 87', Okubo T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
56.1% | Draw
24.5% | Yokohama F. Marinos
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.62) |
3.85 ↓
(4.12) |
4.81 ↓
(5.03) |
6.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 5.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Kashiwa is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Harada W.
(Injury)
Konishi Y.
(Inactive)
Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Suzuki T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Tono D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
04.10.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
07.09.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
03.09.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:4
14.05.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:2
05.10.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Verdy | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 6 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Mito | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
