Exeter City vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Exeter City - Luton Town
Result
1:0
26/09/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/16-FINALS
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
25%
Draw
26.2%
Luton Town
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.7% 24.8% 54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8% 22.5% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Exeter City - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.79
    (4.5)
    3.61
    (3.76)
    1.93
    (1.72)
    5.9%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Exeter City - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Luton will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 0.
    • Recent matches Exeter is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Luton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Exeter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Luton is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Clark J. (Ankle Injury) Osho G. (Knee Injury) Potts D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Barkley R. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-19.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Luton Town
    16.09.2023 Fulham - Luton Town 1:0
    29.08.2023 Luton Town - Gillingham 3:2
    25.08.2023 Chelsea - Luton Town 3:0
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham