Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 22
- Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (163/250) | 85% (417/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 52 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (163/250) | 85% (417/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/58) | 56% (20/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (68/112) | 74% (106/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 38% (14/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Zedadka K. ⚽,
- 6', 1 - 1, Pittarello F. ⚽, Liberali M. (A),
- 14', Tait F. 🟨,
- 21', 2 - 1, Merkaj S. ⚽,
- 45+1', Petriccione J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Tronchin S. 🟨,
- 58', Tait F. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
- 58', Tronchin S. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
- 64', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
- 65', Brighenti N. ↓, Frosinini R. ↑,
- 73', Casiraghi D. ↓, Bordon F. ↑,
- 73', Liberali M. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
- 74', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
- 74', Pontisso S. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
- 78', Adamonis M. 🟨,
- 84', Molina S. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
- 85', Iemmello P. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
- 90+5', Zedadka K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
42.7% | Draw
31.2% | Catanzaro
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Südtirol-Alto Adige's performance.Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catanzaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Südtirol-Alto Adige that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catanzaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.54) |
3.02 ↓
(3.27) |
3.56 ↑
(2.65) |
6.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 13.8% – 69.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Südtirol (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Südtirol-Alto Adige will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Südtirol is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Catanzaro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Südtirol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Cragno A.
(Inactive)
Martini J.
(Injury)
Masiello A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Oudin R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Catanzaro?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro were as follows:
24.08.2025
Catanzaro
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:1
12.01.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Catanzaro
1:1
27.10.2024
Catanzaro
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
3:0
17.02.2024
Catanzaro
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:2
07.10.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Catanzaro
0:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
