Notts County vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Meadow Lane (Nottingham).

League Two - Round 25
Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.06	0.75
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	4
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
4	3
Passes
75% (351/467)	67% (236/351)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.06	0.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.78	0.51
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
4	5
Shots inside the box
8	7
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
16	29
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
12	10
Passes
75% (351/467)	67% (236/351)
Long passes
28% (20/72)	47% (35/75)
Passes in final third
66% (70/106)	52% (73/140)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	34% (10/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	1.17
Throw ins
26	32
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
80% (16/20)	75% (18/24)
Duels won
60	76
Clearances
33	17
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.51	0.78
Goals prevented
0.51	-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Robertson S. ⚽, Norburn O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Andrews J. 🟨,
63', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
63', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
63', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
64', Hall T. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
71', McKenzie R. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
71', Gale S. ↓, Hutton R. ↑,
76', Ness L. 🟨,
80', Dennis M. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
81', Dack B. 🟨,
86', Beckles O. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Notts County
46.9%

Draw
28.1%

Gillingham
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.8%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Notts County - Gillingham Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.98)	3.34 ↓ (3.43)	3.72 ↑ (3.4)	7.1% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Notts County - Gillingham?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Notts County (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Gillingham (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gillingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Notts County could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Gillingham?

Notts County has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Notts County?

Gillingham has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Gillingham were as follows:

13.09.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:0

01.02.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2

21.09.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 0:1

09.02.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 1:3

21.10.2023 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2

Latest results of Notts County

31.01.2026 Fleetwood Town - Notts County 1:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Notts County - Swindon Town 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 1:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Crawley Town - Notts County 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Oldham Athletic - Notts County Postponed ✺

Latest results of Gillingham

31.01.2026 Gillingham - Bromley 1:4 ✺

27.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Gillingham Postponed ✺

24.01.2026 Harrogate Town - Gillingham 0:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Gillingham - Newport County 3:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Swindon Town - Gillingham 2:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	35	19	12	4	58:35	23	69
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Chesterfield	35	14	14	7	55:44	11	56
7	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
8	Grimsby	34	15	10	9	49:38	11	55
9	Salford	34	17	4	13	47:46	1	55
10	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
11	Walsall	34	15	8	11	42:37	5	53
12	Colchester	34	13	10	11	48:38	10	49
13	Fleetwood	34	13	9	12	44:42	2	48
14	Oldham	33	11	13	9	36:30	6	46
15	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	35	9	8	18	47:62	-15	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Newport	35	7	7	21	35:61	-26	28
23	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
24	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League