Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Cup
Football Polish Cup Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań
Result
0:1
07/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: POLISH CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
25.5%		Draw
26.2%		Lech Poznań
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.6% 24.8% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9% 24.4% 54.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arka Gdynia's performance.
  • Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lech Poznań might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arka Gdynia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.62 ↓
    (4.75)    		 3.53 ↓
    (3.75)    		 1.91 ↑
    (1.67)    		 8.3%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 46.4% – 99%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arka won 2.
    • Arka in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lech is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lech will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Arka won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    02.12.2023 GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia 1:1 ✺
    24.11.2023 Arka Gdynia - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0 ✺
    12.11.2023 Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Arka Gdynia 1:3 ✺
    08.11.2023 Polonia Bytom - Arka Gdynia 1:3 ✺
    04.11.2023 Arka Gdynia - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    02.12.2023 Korona Kielce - Lech Poznań 0:1 ✺
    26.11.2023 Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź 1:3 ✺
    12.11.2023 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:0 ✺
    04.11.2023 Lech Poznań - Ruch Chorzów 2:0 ✺
    31.10.2023 Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Lech Poznań 0:4 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    2Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    3LegnicaBye
    4ByePogon Siedlce
    5Avia SwidnikBye
    6ByeRuch Chorzow
    7SwinoujscieBye
    8KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    9Gryf SlupskBye
    10ByePolonia Warszawa
    11S. RzeszowBye
    12ByeKorona Kielce
    13T. MazowieckiBye
    14ByeSlask Wroclaw
    15LKS LomzaBye
    16ByeOdra Opole
    17Legia IIBye
    18ByeGornik Zabrze
    19OzimekBye
    20ByePruszkow
    21LecznaBye
    22ByeCracovia
    23Korona Kielce IIBye
    24ByePiast Gliwice
    25SrodaBye
    26KS Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    27Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    28ByeWisla
    29Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    30ByeLechia Gdansk
    31Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    32ByePogon Szczecin
    33Legnica IIBye
    34Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    35Arka GdyniaBye
    36ByeMotor Lublin
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39WikielecBye
    40PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    41Radomiak RadomBye
    42ByeZaglebie
    43ZawiszaBye
    44ByeTychy
    45Termalica B-B.Bye
    46ByeWidzew Lodz
    47AndrychowBye
    48ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    49Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    50Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    51GKS KatowiceBye
    52ByeWisla Plock
    53LKS LodzBye
    54ByeChrobry Glogow
    55Stal MielecBye
    56ByePuszcza

    1/32-finals
    1Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow
    2LegnicaPogon Siedlce
    3Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow
    4SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie
    5Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa
    6S. RzeszowKorona Kielce
    7T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw
    8LKS LomzaOdra Opole
    9Legia IIGornik Zabrze
    10OzimekPruszkow
    11LecznaCracovia
    12Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice
    13SrodaOl. Grudziadz
    14Bytom OdrzanskiWisla
    15Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk
    16Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    17Legnica IISwit Szczecin
    18Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola
    20WikielecPodbeskidzie
    21Radomiak RadomZaglebie
    22ZawiszaTychy
    23Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz
    24AndrychowChojniczanka
    25Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom
    26GKS KatowiceWisla Plock
    27LKS LodzChrobry Glogow
    28Stal MielecPuszcza
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