Result
08/05/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
63.3% | Draw
22% | Arka Gdynia
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Lech Poznań - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.39) |
4.2 ↑
(3.82) |
6.26 ↓
(6.7) |
8.3%
(13%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Arka Gdynia?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 1.
- Lech is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Arka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Lech is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Lech will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lech won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Arka Gdynia?
Lech Poznań has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Lech Poznań?
Arka Gdynia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
09.11.2025
Arka Gdynia
-
Lech Poznań
3:1
07.12.2023
Arka Gdynia
-
Lech Poznań
0:1
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 56:41 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 45 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 43:41 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 40:41 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 | Legia | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:37 | 1 | 39 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 40:45 | -5 | 38 |
| 15 | Cracovia | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 36:38 | -2 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
