Result
0:2
13/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 16
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 3.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (338/416) | 79% (228/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 3.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (338/416) | 79% (228/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (15/38) | 53% (27/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (75/119) | 70% (85/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 50% (12/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Nieling B. ⚽,
- 25', Fellipe Jack 🟨,
- 37', Pyyhtia N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Massolin Y. 🟨,
- 61', Nagy A. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
- 68', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
- 68', Fellipe Jack 🟨,
- 72', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
- 73', Kouda R. ↓, Hristov P. ↑,
- 73', Vlahovic V. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 76', Massolin Y. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 86', Beruatto P. ↓, Esposito Sa. ↑,
- 86', Artistico G. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
- 88', Santoro S. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
- 88', Mendes P. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 2, Gliozzi E. ⚽, Defrel G. (A),
- 90+2', Tonoli D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Zampano F. 🟨,
- 90+8', Esposito Sa. 🟨,
- 90+8', Magnino L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spezia
26.9% | Draw
30.6% | Modena
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Spezia - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.88) |
3.05 ↑
(3) |
2.22 ↓
(2.48) |
6.6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spezia - Modena?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Modena will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 42% – 87.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Spezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Modena might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Spezia: Cassata F.
(Yellow Cards)
Di Serio G.
(Injury)
Esposito Sa.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Modena: Cotali M.
(Inactive)
Ponsi F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Modena?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Spezia?
Modena has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Modena were as follows:
15.02.2025
Modena
-
Spezia
1:1
02.11.2024
Spezia
-
Modena
1:0
25.02.2024
Modena
-
Spezia
0:0
26.12.2023
Spezia
-
Modena
1:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33:15 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | Monza | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Venezia | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 32 |
| 4 | Cesena | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | Palermo | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 27:13 | 14 | 30 |
| 6 | Modena | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 29 |
| 7 | Catanzaro | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24:19 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Padova | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Avellino | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 | Empoli | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 20 |
| 12 | Reggiana | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 24:29 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Bari | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 16 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Entella | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | Spezia | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 |
| 19 | Mantova | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15:26 | -11 | 14 |
| 20 | Pescara | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
