Independiente Medellín vs Junior Barranquilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/12/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín).

Primera A - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 6
Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.34	0.98
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
83% (393/471)	84% (386/462)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34	0.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.14	0.81
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
0	1
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
18	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
4	11
Passes
83% (393/471)	84% (386/462)
Long passes
55% (31/56)	38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
68% (97/143)	66% (68/103)
Crosses
33% (4/12)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	0.81
Throw-ins
18	20
Fouls
11	4
Tackles
85% (11/13)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
29	32
Clearances
11	26
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.81	2.14
Goals prevented
-0.19	0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Leon B. ⚽, Fydriszewski F. (A),
40', Herrera E. (Penalty Awarded),
45+6', Rivas J. 🟨,
45+10', 2 - 0, Ortiz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Suarez Y. ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
46', Rivas J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
46', Esparragoza C. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Castrillon B. ⚽, Paiva G. (A),
58', Paiva G. ↓, Titi ↑,
61', Leon B. 🟨,
65', Leon B. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
74', Alvarado J. 🟨,
77', Barrera J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
79', Baez C. ↓, Monzon L. ↑,
84', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ymseefpe

Chances of winning

Independiente Medellín
41.1%

Draw
29.5%

Junior Barranquilla
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

27.5%

31%

Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)	3.14 ↓ (3.34)	3.19 ↑ (3.07)	7.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Junior will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 26.7% – 80.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Junior (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Junior (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Junior (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Junior (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.
Ind Medellín has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Junior is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ind Medellín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Junior Barranquilla?

Independiente Medellín has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Independiente Medellín?

Junior Barranquilla has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:

19.11.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 1:0

21.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla 2:2

11.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla 1:0

08.06.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 0:1

06.04.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 1:0

Latest results of Independiente Medellín

04.12.2025 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín 2:1 ✺

01.12.2025 Independiente Medellín - América de Cali 1:1 ✺

27.11.2025 América de Cali - Independiente Medellín 2:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 0:0 ✺

19.11.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Junior Barranquilla

04.12.2025 Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali 2:1 ✺

30.11.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional 2:1 ✺

26.11.2025 Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla 1:1 ✺

23.11.2025 América de Cali - Junior Barranquilla 1:1 ✺

19.11.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín 1:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dep. Pasto	4	3	0	1	5:5	0	9
2	Bucaramanga	4	2	2	0	10:4	6	8
3	Deportes Tolima	4	2	2	0	6:2	4	8
4	America De Cali	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
5	Inter Bogotu00e1	4	2	1	1	5:6	-1	7
6	Atl. Nacional	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
7	Dep. Cali	4	2	0	2	7:4	3	6
8	Llaneros	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6
9	Santa Fe	4	1	3	0	5:4	1	6
10	Once Caldas	4	1	3	0	5:4	1	6
11	Fortaleza	4	1	3	0	3:2	1	6
12	Junior	3	2	0	1	5:5	0	6
13	Aguilas	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
14	Jaguares de Cordoba	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
15	Cucuta	4	0	2	2	5:7	-2	2
16	Pereira	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2
17	Ind. Medellin	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
18	Millonarios	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
19	Chico	4	0	1	3	1:7	-6	1
20	Alianza	4	0	1	3	1:9	-8	1

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )