Lincoln City vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
04/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 25
  • Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.662.33
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
63% (151/240)82% (406/497)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.662.33
xG on target (xGOT)
3.542.06
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
46
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2527
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
717
Passes
63% (151/240)82% (406/497)
Long passes
36% (22/61)36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
50% (46/92)65% (83/127)
Crosses
39% (7/18)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.59
Throw-ins
2029
Fouls
177
Tackles
72% (18/25)82% (9/11)
Duels won
6158
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.063.54
Goals prevented
0.06-1.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Leonard H. , Lisbie K. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Hackett-Fairchild R. , Darikwa T. (A),
  • 37', Collins A. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Draper F. ,
  • 45+2', 3 - 1, Darikwa T. , Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', 3 - 2, Lisbie K. , Khela B. (A),
  • 57', 4 - 2, Reach A. , Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
  • 60', Frith D. , Aderoju O. ,
  • 61', Lisbie K. 🟨,
  • 65', Draper F. , Obikwu J. ,
  • 65', Varfolomeev I. , Jefferies D. ,
  • 70', Towler R. 🟨,
  • 74', Garbett M. , O'Brien-Brady D. ,
  • 74', Khela B. , Hayes C. ,
  • 79', Reach A. , Ring E. ,
  • 83', Leonard H. 🟨,
  • 86', Street R. , Moylan J. ,
  • 87', Obikwu J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 5 - 2, Darikwa T. , Hamer T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
48.8%
Draw
25.9%
Peterborough United
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 27.4% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 29.3% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Lincoln City - Peterborough United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.93)
    3.61
    (3.34)
    3.67
    (3.64)
    7.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Peterborough United?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 35.2%92%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lincoln City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
    • Lincoln is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Peterborough is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lincoln could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J. (Injury) House B. (Inactive) Jackson A. (Inactive) Thorn O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mendy J. (Inactive) Mills H. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Peterborough: Okagbue D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Peterborough United were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Peterborough United - Lincoln City 0:3
    25.01.2025 Lincoln City - Peterborough United 5:1
    14.09.2024 Peterborough United - Lincoln City 1:1
    27.01.2024 Lincoln City - Peterborough United 0:0
    07.10.2023 Peterborough United - Lincoln City 2:0
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two