São Bernardo vs Tombense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
41
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Total shots
115
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', 1 - 0, Hugo Sanches ,
  • 62', Bastos R. , Felipe Garcia ,
  • 62', Felipe Azevedo , Victor Andrade ,
  • 75', Pedro Felipe , Echapora ,
  • 78', 2 - 0, Romisson ,
  • 80', Julio Henrique 🟨,
  • 81', Para , Caio Garcez ,
  • 83', Fabricio Dias , Andre Cardoso ,
  • 83', Lucas Mila , Joao Vitor ,
  • 83', Jefferson Renan , Jupi ,
  • 85', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 90+3', Adson 🟥,

Chances of winning


São Bernardo
63.5%
Draw
25.3%
Tombense
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 26% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 24.5% 12.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • São Bernardo - Tombense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.5)
    3.65
    (3.48)
    8.21
    (6.66)
    8.2%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for São Bernardo - Tombense?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 68.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - São Bernardo (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. São Bernardo (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
    • São Bernardo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tombense is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, São Bernardo is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that São Bernardo will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Bernardo - Tombense were as follows:
    27.04.2024 São Bernardo - Tombense 4:2
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    27.07.2025 São Bernardo - Confiança 1:1
    20.07.2025 Ypiranga - São Bernardo 0:2
    14.06.2025 Ituano - São Bernardo 1:1
    Latest results of Tombense
    28.07.2025 Tombense - Maringá 1:1
    20.07.2025 Confiança - Tombense 3:2
    12.07.2025 Tombense - ABC 1:2
    07.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Tombense 1:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Figueirense00000:000
    2Volta Redonda00000:000
    3Ituano00000:000
    4Santa Cruz00000:000
    5Itabaiana00000:000
    6Confianca00000:000
    7Guarani00000:000
    8Paysandu PA00000:000
    9Botafogo PB00000:000
    10Brusque00000:000
    11Ferroviaria00000:000
    12SER Caxias00000:000
    13Anapolis00000:000
    14Maranhao00000:000
    15Inter de Limeira00000:000
    16Maringa FC00000:000
    17Ypiranga FC00000:000
    18Floresta EC00000:000
    19Amazonas00000:000
    20Barra FC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D