Result
2:2
30/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Junior Urso 🟨,
- 14', Pablo Dyego 🟨,
- 26', Breno Roma 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Felipe Rodrigues ↓, Hyoran ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Fabricio Daniel ⚽,
- 53', Breno Roma 🟨,
- 54', Fabricio Daniel 🟨,
- 57', Hyoran 🟨,
- 58', Helder Maciel 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Rubens (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
- 63', Pablo Dyego ↓, Davi D. ↑,
- 68', Cesar ↓, Keliton ↑,
- 72', Luizao 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 1, Rubens (Penalty Awarded),
- 75', Luizao ↓, Joao Ferraz ↑,
- 75', Junior Urso ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
- 75', Luizao 🟥,
- 76', Junior Urso 🟨,
- 81', Joao Vitor ↓, Silvano ↑,
- 81', Vitinho ↓, Diego Leandro ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Hyoran ⚽,
- 90+4', Lucas Rian 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tombense
45.7% | Draw
27.5% | São Bernardo
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Bernardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Bernardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tombense - São Bernardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.8) |
3.35 ↑
(3.1) |
3.42 ↑
(2.25) |
8.8%
(12.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against São Bernardo?
Tombense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Tombense?
São Bernardo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - São Bernardo were as follows:
03.08.2025
São Bernardo
-
Tombense
2:0
27.04.2024
São Bernardo
-
Tombense
4:2
Latest results of Tombense
Latest results of São Bernardo
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Cianorte | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Sampaio Correa FE | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Tombense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Volta Redonda | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Operario-PR | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Avai | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | America MG | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 6 | Juventude | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sul~Sudeste (Play Offs: )
