Result
1:0
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (470/556) | 79% (303/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (470/556) | 79% (303/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 48% (29/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (129/174) | 66% (60/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (20/24) | 27% (3/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Nakagawa T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Yamada Y. 🟨,
- 59', Nozawa L. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 59', Nakagawa T. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
- 67', Watai M. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
- 71', Endo K. ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Kubo T. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
- 82', Ko T. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
- 82', Muroya S. ↓, Nagatomo Y. ↑,
- 86', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 86', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 88', Diego 🟨,
- 89', Koizumi Y. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
52.2% | Draw
24.8% | Tokyo
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.74) |
3.78 ↓
(3.94) |
4.12 ↓
(4.58) |
6.6%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1.
- Kashiwa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tokyo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kashiwa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R.
(Inactive)
Kumasaka K.
(Inactive)
Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Tokyo: Henrique Trevisan
(Calf Injury)
Kim Seung-Gyu
(Knee Injury)
Ogashiwa T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tokyo: Shirai K.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Kashiwa will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Tokyo?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Tokyo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo were as follows:
11.04.2025
Tokyo
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
06.07.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Tokyo
3:2
11.05.2024
Tokyo
-
Kashiwa Reysol
3:3
01.07.2023
Tokyo
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
26.02.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Tokyo
1:1
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
