Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Referee: Guimaraes L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (337/400) | 79% (236/297) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (337/400) | 79% (236/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 45% (18/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (41/67) | 60% (54/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Tavinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tavinho ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 46', Ze Gabriel ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
- 46', Clayson ↓, de Pena Carlos ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Pedro Perotti ⚽, de Pena Carlos (A),
- 55', Juninho 🟨,
- 59', Madson ↓, Augusto ↑,
- 60', Juninho ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 60', Ivan Alvarino ↓, Kauan Alemao ↑,
- 63', de Pena Carlos 🟨,
- 67', Habraao ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 75', Diego Galo ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
- 77', Biel Fonseca ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
- 81', Luis Oyama 🟨,
- 81', Luis Oyama ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 90+1', Iury Castilho 🟨,
- 90+2', Patrick 🟨,
- 90+5', Pedro Perotti 🟨,
- 90+6', Felipinho 🟨,
- 90+6', Helio Borges 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sport Recife
38.5% | Draw
29.6% | Grêmio Novorizontino
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Recife's form might have worsened.Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Novorizontino's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sport Recife - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.1) |
3.15 ↓
(3.2) |
2.95 ↓
(3.54) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sport Recife - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Novorizontino (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Recife might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Eduardo Brock
(Injury)
Jordi
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Nicolas Careca
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Maykon Jesus
(Inactive)
Tavinho
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Sport Recife has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Sport Recife?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Recife - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
11.10.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Sport Recife
1:3
24.06.2024
Sport Recife
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:2
05.08.2023
Sport Recife
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
30.08.2022
Sport Recife
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
Latest results of Sport Recife
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Juventude | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ceara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | CRB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 20 | America MG | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
