Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (302/396) | 75% (292/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (302/396) | 75% (292/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (26/71) | 31% (22/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (93/142) | 61% (72/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Shiihashi K. 🟨,
- 60', Mateus 🟨,
- 64', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
- 65', Mateus ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 65', Izumi R. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
- 73', Konno K. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
- 73', Shigemi M. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
- 77', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
- 79', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
- 79', Maejima Y. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 1, Tokumoto S. ⚽, Nakayama K. (A),
- 84', Nakayama K. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 84', Tokumoto S. ↓, Uchida T. ↑,
- 86', Nago S. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Kanamori T. ⚽, Fujimoto K. (A),
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
33.1% | Draw
33.1% | Nagoya Grampus
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avispa Fukuoka's form might have worsened.Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagoya Grampus's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagoya Grampus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.36) |
2.84 ↓
(2.98) |
2.78 ↓
(3.29) |
6.3%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 4.
- Recent form of Avispa Fukuoka has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nagoya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J.
(Knee Injury)
Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
Oda I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Nagoya Grampus?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
04.10.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
07.04.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:0
15.10.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
11.10.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
16.09.2023
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 30:20 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 40 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 38 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 26:18 | 8 | 36 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:23 | 12 | 35 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 8 | Machida | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 33 |
| 10 | Okayama | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 | Gamba Osaka | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:30 | -2 | 27 |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Verdy | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 15:23 | -8 | 27 |
| 16 | FC Tokyo | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16:26 | -10 | 23 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14:27 | -13 | 19 |
| 19 | Albirex Niigata | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 19 |
| 20 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19:32 | -13 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
