Result
2:0
02/05/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 46
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4 |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (468/546) | 71% (206/289) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (468/546) | 71% (206/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (36/64) | 32% (18/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (146/195) | 43% (20/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (13/44) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Konak Y. E. ↓, Brannagan C. ↑,
- 34', 1 - 0, Azeez F. ⚽, Ivanovic M. (A),
- 39', Ballo T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 0, Azeez F. ⚽,
- 59', Mills S. ↓, Jeon Jin-Woo ↑,
- 59', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 59', Donley J. ↓, McDonnell J. ↑,
- 61', De Norre C. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
- 61', Sturge Z. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
- 62', Ballo T. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
- 74', Azeez F. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
- 81', Bannan B. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 88', ter Avest H. ↓, Long S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Millwall
68.7% | Draw
18.7% | Oxford United
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+1%)
Millwall - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.42) |
5.08 ↑
(4.68) |
7.62 ↑
(6.74) |
5.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Millwall - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 67.8% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Oxford is Relegated to League One
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Millwall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Millwall is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Millwall: Bryan J.
(Injury)
Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Shoulder Injury)
Goodrham T.
(Ankle Injury)
Leigh G.
(Calf Injury)
Placheta P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Coburn J.
(Injury)
Doughty A.
(Calf Injury)
Mitchell B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Brannagan C.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Oxford United?
Millwall has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Millwall?
Oxford United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Oxford United were as follows:
01.11.2025
Oxford United
-
Millwall
2:2
01.01.2025
Millwall
-
Oxford United
0:1
30.11.2024
Oxford United
-
Millwall
1:1
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
