Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 22:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (195/301) | 67% (233/347) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (195/301) | 67% (233/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/59) | 16% (9/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (62/121) | 68% (74/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+1', Yamane T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Yoon S. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
- 63', Sato K. ↓, Arai H. ↑,
- 63', Okugawa M. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
- 65', Yamane T. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 65', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 74', Kimura T. ↓, Kawano K. ↑,
- 81', Esaka A. ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 81', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Ogura K. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Matsumoto M. ⚽, Kawano K. (A),
- 88', Marco Tulio ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
- 88', Joao Pedro ↓, Gustavo Barreto ↑,
- 90', Hiraoka T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama
29.6% | Draw
29.6% | Kyoto Sanga
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↓
(3.37) |
3.17 ↓
(3.52) |
2.31 ↑
(2.09) |
6.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kyoto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1.
- Okayama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Kyoto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Kyoto Sanga?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Fagiano Okayama?
Kyoto Sanga has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
30.08.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Fagiano Okayama
5:0
15.02.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:0
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
