Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 5
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.66 | 0.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
86% (356/416) | 87% (396/457) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.66 | 0.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.68 | 1.46 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
86% (356/416) | 87% (396/457) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (30/54) | 59% (24/41) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (65/93) | 77% (111/144) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (2/14) | 19% (6/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.60 | 0.76 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
54% (7/13) | 40% (4/10) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 37 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.46 | 1.68 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.46 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Biasci T. ⚽, Cancellotti T. (A),
- 34', Benali A. 🟨,
- 41', Parodi L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 67', Ankeye D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 67', Benali A. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Kumi J. ⚽,
- 70', Besaggio M. ↓, Gyabuaa M. ↑,
- 76', Crespi V. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 76', Biasci T. ↓, Lescano F. ↑,
- 78', Parodi L. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
- 79', Marconi I. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
- 79', Franzoni A. ↓, Boccadamo A. ↑,
- 85', Kumi J. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
- 85', Palmiero L. ↓, Armellino M. ↑,
- 90+3', Cagnano A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avellino 41.2% | Draw 32.3% | Virtus Entella 26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Entella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Avellino - Virtus Entella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.44 ↓ (2.65) |
3.22 ↑ (3.15) |
4.08 ↑ (2.6) |
-3.4% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avellino - Virtus Entella?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Virtus Entella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L.
(Knee Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Knee Injury)
Enrici P.
(Red Card)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Patierno C.
(Illness)
Rigione M.
(Muscle Injury)
Tutino G.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Siaulys O.
(Inactive)
Tiritiello A.
(Red Card)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Virtus Entella?
Avellino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Avellino?
Virtus Entella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Virtus Entella were as follows:
10.05.2025
Virtus Entella
-
Avellino
1:1
Latest results of Avellino
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
2 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
9 | Sudtirol | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
12 | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
14 | Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
15 | Empoli | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Pescara | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 5 |
18 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
19 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
20 | Sampdoria | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation