Avellino vs Virtus Entella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Avellino - Virtus Entella
Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 5
  • Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.62
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
86% (356/416)87% (396/457)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.660.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.46
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
188
Passes
86% (356/416)87% (396/457)
Long passes
56% (30/54)59% (24/41)
Passes in final third
70% (65/93)77% (111/144)
Crosses
14% (2/14)19% (6/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.76
Throw-ins
179
Fouls
818
Tackles
54% (7/13)40% (4/10)
Duels won
5037
Clearances
2924
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.461.68
Goals prevented
1.46-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Biasci T. , Cancellotti T. (A),
  • 34', Benali A. 🟨,
  • 41', Parodi L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', Ankeye D. , Debenedetti A. ,
  • 67', Benali A. , Nichetti M. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Kumi J. ,
  • 70', Besaggio M. , Gyabuaa M. ,
  • 76', Crespi V. , Russo R. ,
  • 76', Biasci T. , Lescano F. ,
  • 78', Parodi L. , Dalla Vecchia M. ,
  • 79', Marconi I. , Bariti D. ,
  • 79', Franzoni A. , Boccadamo A. ,
  • 85', Kumi J. , Palumbo M. ,
  • 85', Palmiero L. , Armellino M. ,
  • 90+3', Cagnano A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avellino
41.2%
Draw
32.3%
Virtus Entella
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 29.4% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 29.6% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.
  • Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Entella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avellino that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Avellino - Virtus Entella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.65)
    3.22
    (3.15)
    4.08
    (2.6)
    -3.4%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Avellino - Virtus Entella?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Virtus Entella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L. (Knee Injury) De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Enrici P. (Red Card) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Patierno C. (Illness) Rigione M. (Muscle Injury) Tutino G. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Virtus Entella: Siaulys O. (Inactive) Tiritiello A. (Red Card)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Virtus Entella were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Virtus Entella - Avellino 1:1
    Latest results of Avellino
    21.09.2025 Carrarese - Avellino 3:4
    12.09.2025 Avellino - Monza 2:1
    31.08.2025 Modena - Avellino 1:1
    24.08.2025 Frosinone - Avellino 2:0
    Latest results of Virtus Entella
    21.09.2025 Padova - Virtus Entella 2:1
    14.09.2025 Virtus Entella - Mantova 1:0
    30.08.2025 Cesena - Virtus Entella 1:1
    16.08.2025 Cagliari - Virtus Entella 2:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palermo74309:3615
    2Modena642011:3814
    3Frosinone742113:7614
    4Venezia733110:5512
    5Avellino733111:9212
    6Cesena732211:10111
    7Monza73227:6111
    8Juve Stabia62408:5310
    9Sudtirol623110:829
    10Reggiana723210:1009
    11Padova72237:9-28
    12Carrarese61418:717
    13Catanzaro70617:8-16
    14Entella61326:8-26
    15Empoli61328:12-46
    16Bari71337:12-56
    17Pescara612310:1005
    18Mantova71155:13-84
    19Spezia70344:11-73
    20Sampdoria60243:9-62

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation