Independiente Medellín vs Alianza Valledupar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar
Result
1:1
13/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.74
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
153
Passes
87% (462/534)73% (194/267)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.411.49
Total shots
219
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
144
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
153
Touches in opposition box
299
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
87
Passes
87% (462/534)73% (194/267)
Long passes
63% (30/48)36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
74% (163/219)57% (30/53)
Crosses
11% (4/36)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.25
Throw-ins
2023
Fouls
78
Tackles
88% (14/16)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3731
Clearances
1339
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.491.41
Goals prevented
0.490.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Del Valle A. , Manjarres R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Berrio L. , Perlaza B. ,
  • 46', Palacios J. , Chaverra L. ,
  • 57', Del Valle A. , Torres E. ,
  • 57', Manjarres R. , Munoz J. ,
  • 61', Gil M. , Munoz J. ,
  • 61', Moreno D. , Rodallega Y. ,
  • 61', Chaverra F. , Mancilla G. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Perlaza B. , Martinez Yepez H. E. (A),
  • 78', Pardo F. , Lucumi C. ,
  • 79', Castillo J. , Mosquera F. ,
  • 80', Arizala J. , Torijano F. ,
  • 83', Chaverra L. 🟨,
  • 84', Torres E. 🟨,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Munoz J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente Medellín
67.7%
Draw
21.5%
Alianza Valledupar
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 23.2% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 23% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.45)
    4.27
    (4)
    8.69
    (7.2)
    7.5%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 3.
    • Ind Medellín has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alianza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ind Medellín is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    10.10.2024 Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar 2:0
    24.02.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín 2:0
    20.08.2023 Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar 2:1
    26.02.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín 0:1
    Latest results of Alianza Valledupar
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional11003:123
    2Junior11002:023
    3Dep. Pasto11003:213
    4Fortaleza11001:013
    5Chico10101:101
    6Ind. Medellin10101:101
    7Bucaramanga10101:101
    8Alianza10101:101
    9America De Cali10100:001
    10Llaneros10100:001
    11Santa Fe00000:000
    12La Equidad00000:000
    13Millonarios00000:000
    14Pereira00000:000
    15Aguilas00000:000
    16U. Magdalena00000:000
    17Deportes Tolima10012:3-10
    18Envigado10010:1-10
    19Once Caldas10011:3-20
    20Dep. Cali10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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