JEF United Chiba vs Mito HollyHock – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Result
1:2 penalties
11/04/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanAbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.660.56
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
63
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
23
Passes
80% (313/389)80% (324/407)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.660.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.49
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
24
Blocked shots
26
Shots inside the box
66
Shots outside the box
47
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1526
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
910
Passes
80% (313/389)80% (324/407)
Long passes
38% (23/61)41% (31/75)
Passes in final third
71% (64/90)56% (58/103)
Crosses
25% (4/16)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.39
Throw ins
3320
Fouls
109
Tackles
61% (11/18)77% (17/22)
Duels won
5645
Clearances
3614
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.491.26
Goals prevented
-0.510.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Fofana M. ↓, Ushizawa T. ↑,
  • 45+4', 0 - 1, Matheus Leiria ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Hidaka M. ↓, Ishio R. ↑,
  • 59', Tsukui T. ↓, Sugiyama N. ↑,
  • 59', Issaka Z. ↓, Himeno M. ↑,
  • 66', Kobayashi Y. 🟨,
  • 69', Matheus Leiria ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
  • 69', Arai M. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
  • 72', Mae T. ↓, Yasui T. ↑,
  • 74', Takahashi I. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Yasui T. ⚽, Goya H. (A),
  • 82', Semba T. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
  • 83', Itakura K. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
  • 90+8', Osaki K. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Igari Y. ↑,
  • Penalties (2 - 3)
  • 1, Takahashi I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Osaki K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Ishikawa D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Watanabe A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Himeno M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Omori S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Ishio R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Nemoto R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Goya H. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


JEF United Chiba
34.1%		Draw
30.4%		Mito HollyHock
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 28.5% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 29% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    JEF United Chiba - Mito HollyHock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.75 ↑
    (2.62)    		 3.07 ↓
    (3.32)    		 2.65 ↓
    (2.67)    		 6.6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba - Mito HollyHock?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. JEF United will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in JEF United: Tanaka K. (Knee Injury) Ueda Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Danilo Cardoso (Red Card) Kato C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JEF United won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, JEF United won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between JEF United Chiba - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
    22.02.2026 Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba 2:1
    19.10.2025 Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba 0:1
    05.04.2025 JEF United Chiba - Mito HollyHock 2:1
    07.09.2024 JEF United Chiba - Mito HollyHock 4:0
    24.03.2024 Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba 0:0
    Latest results of JEF United Chiba
    04.04.2026 JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy 3:2 ✺
    22.03.2026 Kashima Antlers - JEF United Chiba 2:1 ✺
    18.03.2026 JEF United Chiba - Tokyo 1:2 ✺
    14.03.2026 Yokohama F. Marinos - JEF United Chiba 2:0 ✺
    06.03.2026 JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Mito HollyHock
    04.04.2026 Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers 2:1 ✺
    22.03.2026 Kashiwa Reysol - Mito HollyHock 3:0 ✺
    18.03.2026 Mito HollyHock - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺
    14.03.2026 Mito HollyHock - Tokyo 1:2 ✺
    07.03.2026 Urawa Red Diamonds - Mito HollyHock 2:0 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers10802018:726
    2FC Tokyo11532119:1023
    3Machida11531217:1622
    4Verdy10330416:1515
    5Kawasaki Frontale10321416:1914
    6Urawa Reds10303414:1512
    7Mito10133313:1912
    8Kashiwa Reysol10310615:1411
    9Yokohama F. Marinos10300713:189
    10Chiba10203510:189


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe11712123:1225
    2Kyoto10421317:1217
    3Gamba Osaka10332216:1417
    4Shimizu S-Pulse11324215:1417
    5Nagoya Grampus10412317:1516
    6Cerezo Osaka10321410:1114
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima10320515:1413
    8V-Varen Nagasaki10400610:1512
    9Avispa Fukuoka10221510:1711
    10Okayama10213411:2011

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)

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