Zagłębie Lubin vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 15
Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Spain	GolStadium
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	0.95
Ball Possession
30%	70%
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
1	12
Passes
64% (141/220)	83% (421/505)
Yellow Cards
5	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	0.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.13	0.23
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
0	7
Shots inside the Box
5	5
Shots outside the Box
1	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
1	12
Touches in opposition box
17	37
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
64% (141/220)	83% (421/505)
Long passes
43% (23/54)	53% (27/51)
Passes in final third
56% (40/72)	76% (127/168)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	19% (7/37)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	1.06
Throw-ins
14	20
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
67% (18/27)	53% (9/17)
Duels won
60	59
Clearances
34	15
Interceptions
20	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.23	1.13
Goals prevented
0.23	-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Rocha L. ⚽,
15', Yakuba R. 🟨,
30', Rocha L. 🟨,
42', Donio B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Kocaba F. ⚽,
55', Donio B. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
56', Olkowski P. ↓, Kmet M. ↑,
57', Orlikowski I. 🟨,
66', Khlan M. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
69', Regula M. 🟨,
70', Radwanski A. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
70', Rocha L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
70', Regula M. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
76', Liseth S. ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
76', Sow O. ↓, Abdullahi A. ↑,
86', Orlikowski I. ↓, Grzybek M. ↑,
90+1', Grzybek M. 🟨,
90+4', Kolan J. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Zagłębie Lubin
30.7%

Draw
26.9%

Górnik Zabrze
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.6%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

28.1%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.98)	3.5 ↑ (3.12)	2.23 ↑ (2.15)	5.9% (12.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 56.3% – 96.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Górnik Zabrze will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 3.
In recent matches, Zagłębie Lubin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Górnik Zabrze is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Zagłębie Lubin has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Górnik Zabrze?

Zagłębie Lubin has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Zagłębie Lubin?

Górnik Zabrze has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:

11.04.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 2:1

05.10.2024 Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin 0:1

08.04.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 1:2

02.10.2023 Górnik Zabrze - Zagłębie Lubin 0:2

14.04.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 0:2

Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin

03.11.2025 Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin 0:0 ✺

29.10.2025 Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0 ✺

24.10.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin 1:1 ✺

19.10.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Górnik Zabrze

02.11.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Arka Gdynia 5:1 ✺

30.10.2025 Arka Gdynia - Górnik Zabrze 1:2 ✺

26.10.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze 1:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	22	10	8	4	39:26	13	38
2	Zaglebie	23	10	8	5	37:27	10	38
3	Lech Poznan	23	10	8	5	40:34	6	38
4	Gornik Zabrze	23	10	4	9	33:31	2	34
5	Rakow	23	10	4	9	31:29	2	34
6	Cracovia	23	8	9	6	29:25	4	33
7	Wisla Plock	23	8	9	6	24:20	4	33
8	Pogon Szczecin	23	9	4	10	33:35	-2	31
9	Korona Kielce	23	8	6	9	27:26	1	30
10	GKS Katowice	22	9	3	10	31:32	-1	30
11	Motor Lublin	23	7	9	7	32:37	-5	30
12	Radomiak Radom	22	7	8	7	37:34	3	29
13	Piast Gliwice	23	8	5	10	26:28	-2	29
14	Lechia Gdansk	23	9	6	8	46:45	1	28
15	Arka Gdynia	22	7	5	10	21:38	-17	26
16	Legia	23	5	10	8	27:29	-2	25
17	Widzew Lodz	23	7	3	13	29:33	-4	24
18	Termalica B-B	23	5	7	11	27:40	-13	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1