Monza vs Padova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Monza - Padova
Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 5
  • Referee: Arena A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
israelIsrael5 GOLD Israel
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.92
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
85% (477/560)78% (277/357)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.121.24
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2810
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
85% (477/560)78% (277/357)
Long passes
52% (24/46)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
81% (151/187)65% (51/79)
Crosses
14% (5/37)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.55
Throw-ins
2413
Fouls
1012
Tackles
56% (9/16)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5355
Clearances
1244
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.241.12
Goals prevented
0.240.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Perrotta M. 🟨,
  • 51', 0 - 1, Varas K. ,
  • 52', Birindelli S. 🟨,
  • 57', Colombo L. , Zeroli K. ,
  • 57', Colpani A. , Galazzi N. ,
  • 59', Lasagna K. , Buonaiuto C. ,
  • 66', Alvarez A. , Caprari G. ,
  • 66', Maric M. , Petagna A. ,
  • 66', Crisetig L. 🟨,
  • 74', Crisetig L. , Di Maggio L. ,
  • 75', Varas K. , Harder J. ,
  • 81', Barreca A. , Favale G. ,
  • 82', Lucchesi L. , Carboni A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Monza
51.9%
Draw
27.8%
Padova
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 27.6% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Monza - Padova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.92)
    3.39
    (3.35)
    4.61
    (3.8)
    5.9%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Monza - Padova?
  • Users Predictions: Monza will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monza will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Monza have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Padova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Padova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Monza is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Ciurria P. (Red Card) Forson O. (Injury) Zeroli K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Inactive) Boi A. (Inactive) Papu Gomez (Suspended) Pastina C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Padova: Fusi P. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Monza
    20.09.2025 Monza - Sampdoria 1:0
    12.09.2025 Avellino - Monza 2:1
    31.08.2025 Bari - Monza 1:1
    23.08.2025 Monza - Mantova 1:0
    17.08.2025 Monza - Frosinone 0:1
    Latest results of Padova
    21.09.2025 Padova - Virtus Entella 2:1
    13.09.2025 Padova - Frosinone 0:1
    31.08.2025 Carrarese - Padova 0:0
    23.08.2025 Empoli - Padova 3:1
    10.08.2025 Padova - Vicenza Virtus 0:2
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena963016:51121
    2Monza952211:7417
    3Cesena952214:11317
    4Palermo944110:5516
    5Frosinone943214:9515
    6Carrarese935116:11514
    7Venezia934213:9413
    8Juve Stabia834110:8213
    9Reggiana933314:14012
    10Avellino933311:15-412
    11Padova83238:9-111
    12Sudtirol924312:12010
    13Entella924310:12-210
    14Empoli924312:16-410
    15Catanzaro91628:9-19
    16Pescara914414:17-37
    17Spezia91359:13-46
    18Sampdoria91359:14-56
    19Bari81348:15-76
    20Mantova81256:14-85

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation