Result
4:3
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 11
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 3.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (256/338) | 73% (291/401) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 3.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 3.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (256/338) | 73% (291/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 29% (20/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (70/108) | 63% (83/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 63% (15/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.66 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | -1.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Robinson C. ⚽, Willock C. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Connolly A. ⚽,
- 30', Kpakio R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 52', 2 - 1, Lawlor D. ⚽, Wintle R. (A),
- 54', 2 - 2, El Mizouni I. ⚽, Connolly A. (A),
- 57', Clare S. 🟨,
- 57', Willock C. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 3, Ballard D. ⚽,
- 65', Colwill J. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
- 65', Wintle R. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 65', Davies I. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 3, Salech Y. ⚽, Colwill R. (A),
- 71', 4 - 3, Robinson C. ⚽, Kpakio R. (A),
- 76', Edmonds-Green R. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
- 76', Adaramola T. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
- 78', Connolly A. 🟨,
- 80', Ballard D. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
- 85', Bakinson T. ↓, Moorhouse J. ↑,
- 85', Wellens C. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
- 87', Robinson C. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
54.1% | Draw
24.8% | Leyton Orient
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Cardiff City - Leyton Orient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.66) |
3.79 ↓
(3.95) |
4.46 ↓
(4.57) |
5.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Leyton Orient?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 53.8% – 96.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 17).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cardiff is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cardiff: King E.
(Knee Injury)
Tanner O.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Inactive)
Ng P.
(Injury)
Osho G.
(Knee Injury)
Robertson A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Craig M.
(Knock)
Obiero Z.
(Knee Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Leyton Orient?
Cardiff City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Cardiff City?
Leyton Orient has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Leyton Orient were as follows:
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Leyton Orient
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Stockport County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Northampton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Wigan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Exeter | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Reading | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
| 21 | Burton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
