Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel).

Eerste Divisie - Round 29
Referee: Shukrula S. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.49	0.87
Ball possession
39%	61%
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
4	2
Corner kicks
4	10
Passes
84% (280/334)	87% (451/519)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.49	0.87
xG on target (xGOT)
3.41	0.30
Total shots
17	13
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked shots
6	5
Shots inside the box
12	8
Shots outside the box
5	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
4	2
Corner kicks
4	10
Touches in opposition box
28	27
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
14	13
Passes
84% (280/334)	87% (451/519)
Long passes
60% (27/45)	69% (44/64)
Passes in final third
69% (45/65)	77% (118/153)
Crosses
14% (1/7)	14% (4/29)
Expected assists (xA)
1.06	1.10
Throw ins
15	22
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
53% (10/19)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
55	46
Clearances
33	10
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.30	3.41
Goals prevented
-0.70	-1.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Jetten L. ⚽, Ouazane A. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Vink S. ⚽,
45+2', Bergsen M. ↓, Wentges H. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Absalem A. ↓, Geerts D. ↑,
48', Van Den Eynden F. 🟨,
53', Geerts D. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Koglin B. ⚽,
62', Leipold A. ↓, Llonch P. ↑,
62', Dizdarevic A. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
63', Jetten L. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
66', Abdalla M. 🟨,
68', 3 - 1, Ouazane A. ⚽, O'Niel D. (A),
70', Abdalla M. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
77', Vink S. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
77', Ouazane A. ↓, Acheampong L. ↑,
77', O'Niel D. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
86', Acheampong L. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 1, Da Silva P. ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 1, Nash P. ⚽, Acheampong L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Jong Ajax
38%

Draw
25.6%

Helmond Sport
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.7%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 (2.47)	3.62 ↓ (3.75)	2.57 ↑ (2.46)	7.1% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Helmond Sport will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Jong Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 1.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Helmond Sport?

Jong Ajax has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Jong Ajax?

Helmond Sport has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport were as follows:

24.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 2:1

28.04.2025 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 1:0

04.10.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 1:1

19.04.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 3:1

27.11.2023 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 4:1

Latest results of Jong Ajax

23.02.2026 Emmen - Jong Ajax 0:0 ✺

20.02.2026 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 0:1 ✺

16.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 1:2 ✺

06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0 ✺

02.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Willem II 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Helmond Sport

20.02.2026 Helmond Sport - ADO Den Haag 1:3 ✺

13.02.2026 Almere City - Helmond Sport 0:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Helmond Sport - Den Bosch 2:0 ✺

03.02.2026 Dordrecht - Helmond Sport 3:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Helmond Sport - De Graafschap 0:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	35	27	2	6	82:34	48	83
2	Cambuur ✔	35	22	8	5	71:43	28	74
3	De Graafschap	35	17	8	10	68:53	15	59
4	Willem II	35	17	8	10	52:40	12	59
5	Almere City	35	17	4	14	72:57	15	55
6	Jong PSV	35	16	5	14	63:59	4	53
7	Waalwijk	35	14	10	11	61:53	8	52
8	Roda	35	13	12	10	54:49	5	51
9	Den Bosch	34	14	7	13	60:60	0	49
10	Dordrecht	35	11	11	13	45:50	-5	44
11	Eindhoven FC	35	13	5	17	49:63	-14	44
12	Venlo	35	12	5	18	44:52	-8	41
13	FC Emmen	35	11	8	16	55:65	-10	41
14	Vitesse	35	14	10	11	60:53	7	40
15	Jong Utrecht	34	10	9	15	52:58	-6	39
16	Jong AZ	35	11	4	20	59:71	-12	37
17	Maastricht	35	9	9	17	41:71	-30	36
18	Oss	35	8	11	16	46:61	-15	35
19	Helmond	35	9	8	18	40:61	-21	35
20	Jong Ajax	35	8	8	19	48:69	-21	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie