Result
1:0
02/05/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (382/437) | 80% (270/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (382/437) | 80% (270/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (23/40) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (87/123) | 68% (46/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', Kiwior J. 🟨,
- 38', Chiquinho 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Bednarek J. ⚽, Veiga G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kiwior J. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
- 46', Zaidu ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 52', Naves 🟨,
- 63', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
- 74', Sandro Lima 🟨,
- 74', Veiga G. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
- 77', Figueiredo 🟨,
- 78', Figueiredo ↓, Gui D. ↑,
- 78', Chiquinho ↓, Marezi ↑,
- 86', Pepê ↓, Mora R. ↑,
- 89', Naves ↓, Spencer D. ↑,
- 89', Sandro Lima ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
- 89', Rhaldney ↓, Kassary Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Porto
80.2% | Draw
13.8% | Alverca
6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Porto - Alverca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.19 ↓
(1.25) |
6.96 ↑
(6.29) |
15.71 ↑
(13.4) |
4.9%
(3.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Porto - Alverca?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 67.4% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
- Porto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alverca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alverca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Samu
(Knee Injury)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S.
(Injury)
Mendes T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba
(Injury)
Martinez J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Porto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Alverca?
Porto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Porto?
Alverca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Alverca were as follows:
22.12.2025
Alverca
-
Porto
0:3
Latest results of Alverca
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
