Result
2:0
24/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 36
- Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (413/490) | 79% (257/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (413/490) | 79% (257/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (37/63) | 52% (24/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (131/163) | 61% (43/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/29) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Patierno C. 🟨,
- 28', Mane M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Mane M. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
- 66', Rao E. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
- 66', Moncini G. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Besaggio M. ⚽,
- 71', Patierno C. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
- 72', Palmiero L. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 0, Palumbo M. ⚽, Favilli A. (A),
- 80', Maggiore G. ↓, Artioli F. ↑,
- 81', Nikolaou D. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 81', Artioli F. 🟨,
- 86', Besaggio M. ↓, Missori F. ↑,
- 86', Russo R. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
- 90+4', Sounas D. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avellino
49.1% | Draw
28.4% | Bari
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1%)
Avellino - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.91) |
3.3 ↓
(3.37) |
4.18 ↑
(3.95) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avellino - Bari?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Bari will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avellino: 23.8% – 76.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 1.
- Avellino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bari is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Avellino is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Avellino: Milani A.
(Inactive)
Reale F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sgarbi L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bari: Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Dickmann L.
(Inactive)
Esteves T.
(Inactive)
Sibilli G.
(Suspended)
Verreth M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Bari?
Avellino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Avellino?
Bari has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Bari were as follows:
27.12.2025
Bari
-
Avellino
1:1
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
