Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (384/493) | 75% (238/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (384/493) | 75% (238/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/69) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (75/136) | 65% (62/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 10% (1/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.05 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Yuzawa M. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 62', Onaga H. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 62', Yoneda S. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
- 66', Teruyama H. 🟨,
- 72', Kitajima Y. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
- 72', Akino H. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Thiago (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Nago S. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
- 78', Ben Khalifa N. ↓, Sani Brown A. ↑,
- 80', Teruyama H. ↓, Dudu Giusti ↑,
- 86', Matsumoto T. ↓, Yamada R. ↑,
- 86', Thiago ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
Chances of winning
V-Varen Nagasaki
45.1% | Draw
28.6% | Avispa Fukuoka
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with V-Varen Nagasaki that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
V-Varen Nagasaki - Avispa Fukuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.16) |
3.27 ↓
(3.3) |
3.56 ↑
(3.41) |
6.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki - Avispa Fukuoka?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.
- Recent performances by V-Varen Nagasaki have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Avispa Fukuoka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- V-Varen Nagasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- V-Varen Nagasaki could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in V-Varen Nagasaki: Emerson Deocleciano
(Knee Injury)
Nagura T.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Tsujioka Y.
(Red Card)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has V-Varen Nagasaki won against Avispa Fukuoka?
V-Varen Nagasaki has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against V-Varen Nagasaki?
Avispa Fukuoka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between V-Varen Nagasaki - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
