Result
21/04/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
38.4% | Draw
30.5% | Shabab Al-Ahli
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Machida Zelvia - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.26) |
3.08 ↓
(3.55) |
3.01 ↑
(2.88) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Shabab Al-Ahli?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Machida Zelvia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shabab Al-Ahli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Shabab Al-Ahli has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Shabab Al-Ahli?
Machida Zelvia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Machida Zelvia?
Shabab Al-Ahli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | 3 : 4 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al-Sadd (8) | Vissel Kobe (2) | 3 : 4 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Johor DT (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Machida (1) | Al Ittihad (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Buriram (4) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | 2 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Machida (1) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
Final
