Result
29/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3
- Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Bolivia | ESPN |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Ecuador | ESPN |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Paraguay | ESPN |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Chances of winning
Universitario de Deportes 40.3% | Draw 31.3% | Nacional Montevideo 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Universitario de Deportes - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↑ (2.22) |
3.02 ↓ (3.11) |
3.3 ↓ (3.48) |
6.3% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Nacional Montevideo?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Universitario de Deportes will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Uni de Deportes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Nacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Uni de Deportes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Uni de Deportes could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Alzugaray L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Ancheta E.
(Inactive)
Carneiro G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Di Benedetto M.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni de Deportes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Nacional Montevideo?
Universitario de Deportes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Universitario de Deportes?
Nacional Montevideo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Platense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Penarol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)