Monza vs Empoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Monza - Empoli
Result
1:3
18/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 37
Monza - Empoli - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.22
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
90% (587/653)77% (230/297)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.60
Total shots
129
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1418
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
168
Passes
90% (587/653)77% (230/297)
Long passes
58% (32/55)33% (14/42)
Passes in final third
81% (102/126)67% (64/96)
Crosses
31% (4/13)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.53
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
816
Tackles
64% (7/11)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4328
Clearances
2718
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.601.05
Goals prevented
-0.400.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Birindelli S. ⚽, Caprari G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Henderson L. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
  • 46', Marianucci L. ↓, Goglichidze S. ↑,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Colombo L. ⚽, Fazzini J. (A),
  • 51', 1 - 2, Viti M. ⚽, Cacace L. (A),
  • 55', Palacios T. ↓, Caldirola L. ↑,
  • 55', Zeroli K. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
  • 59', 1 - 3, Pizzignacco S. (Own goal),
  • 70', Esposito Se. ↓, Anjorin F. ↑,
  • 70', Caprari G. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
  • 71', Balde K. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
  • 81', Bianco A. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
  • 83', Fazzini J. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
  • 87', Ismajli A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monza
19.9%		Draw
27.2%		Empoli
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.8% 25.5% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 20.1% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Monza - Empoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.82 ↓
    (5.12)    		 3.53 ↓
    (3.77)    		 1.81 ↑
    (1.72)    		 4.4%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Monza - Empoli?
  • Users Predictions: Empoli will win (46 of 57 users predict this - 80.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.45% – 90.95%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Empoli will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Monza is Relegated to Serie B
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Monza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Empoli is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Monza: D'Ambrosio D. (Injury) Forson O. (Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury) Ganvoula S. (Injury) Izzo A. (Thigh Injury) Pereira P. (Yellow Cards) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Empoli: Haas N. (Knee Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Empoli: Maleh Y. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Empoli were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Empoli - Monza 0:0
    21.01.2024 Empoli - Monza 3:0
    26.08.2023 Monza - Empoli 2:0
    04.03.2023 Monza - Empoli 2:1
    15.10.2022 Empoli - Monza 1:0
    Latest results of Monza
    11.05.2025 Udinese - Monza 1:2 ✺
    04.05.2025 Monza - Atalanta 0:4 ✺
    27.04.2025 Juventus - Monza 2:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Monza - Napoli 0:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Venezia - Monza 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Empoli
    10.05.2025 Empoli - Parma 2:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Empoli - Lazio 0:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:1 ✺
    24.04.2025 Bologna - Empoli 2:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Empoli - Venezia 2:2 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Monza - Empoli?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
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    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
    norwayNorwayVG+
    peruPeruDisney+
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 16
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldOnefootball
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