Result
3:0
09/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
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| Ball Possession |
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| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 26', Beneit R. 🟨,
- 36', Doncel C. 🟨,
- 37', Palacios C. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Pareja L. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
- 45+2', Yanez D. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Pareja L. ⚽, Dominguez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Pareja L. 🟨,
- 57', Zuniga L. ↓, Iglesias Lois B. ↑,
- 60', Chiqui 🟨,
- 71', Beneit R. ↓, Dibrani B. ↑,
- 71', Areso J. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 0, Aguado D. (Own goal),
- 74', Yanez D. ↓, Leiva A. ↑,
- 78', Aguado D. 🟨,
- 80', Doncel C. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 86', Garcia A. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
- 86', Chiqui ↓, Artola J. ↑,
- 86', Martinez J. ↓, Serrano M. ↑,
- 86', Palacios C. ↓, Mesonero D. ↑,
- 90+2', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 90+6', Jimenez D. 🟥,
- 90+8', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD 39.3% | Draw 30.7% | Real Madrid Castilla 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mérida AD - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↑ (2.05) |
3.06 ↓ (3.23) |
3.12 ↓ (3.57) |
7.7% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Real Madrid Castilla?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mérida AD will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 1.
- In recent matches, Mérida AD has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Real Madrid Castilla is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Mérida AD may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mérida AD will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mérida AD won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Mérida AD has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Mérida AD?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
10.05.2025
Mérida AD
-
Real Madrid Castilla
0:0
30.11.2024
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Mérida AD
6:0
11.02.2024
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Mérida AD
0:1
23.09.2023
Mérida AD
-
Real Madrid Castilla
0:1
19.03.2023
Real Madrid Castilla
-
Mérida AD
0:0
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Aviles | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Racing Club Ferrol | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Barakaldo | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Merida AD | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Lugo | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Zamora | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Guadalajara | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Ath Bilbao B | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 | Unionistas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 17 | Osasuna B | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Ourense CF | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation