Result
1:0
02/05/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (313/393) | 76% (250/327) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (313/393) | 76% (250/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (34/56) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (87/123) | 61% (58/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Jaroenbut N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Barreto ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
- 56', Jaroenbut N. ↓, Becerra J. ↑,
- 63', Lalic N. 🟨,
- 72', Kanlayanabandit S. ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
- 74', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Win Hein Phyo ↑,
- 76', Chatthong S. ↓, Gildo ↑,
- 79', Jaiphet A. ↓, Charalampous C. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 0, James L. ⚽, Mita H. (A),
- 90', Mhuaddarak T. ↓, Thiamrat L. ↑,
- 90', Thumporn T. ↓, Suksakit P. ↑,
- 90+3', Win Hein Phyo 🟨,
- 90+6', James L. 🟨,
- 90+7', Lakhonphon N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Ratchasima
42.9% | Draw
28.2% | Sukhothai
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Nakhon Ratchasima have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.15) |
3.27 ↑
(3.2) |
3.2 ↓
(3.24) |
8.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1.
- Recent performances by Nakhon Ratchasima have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sukhothai is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nakhon Ratchasima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sukhothai has had a series of away games.
- Nakhon Ratchasima could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.7:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Sukhothai?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Sukhothai has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Sukhothai were as follows:
13.12.2025
Sukhothai
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:1
21.02.2025
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Sukhothai
2:2
05.10.2024
Sukhothai
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
1:0
10.03.2023
Sukhothai
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:3
14.10.2022
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Sukhothai
1:1
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Latest results of Sukhothai
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 75:30 | 45 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 55:22 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 54:30 | 24 | 56 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 39:34 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 37 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 36 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 39:43 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 29 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 28 |
| 13 | Muang Thong Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | Sukhothai | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi ✔ | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 29:53 | -24 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Kanchanaburi is Relegated to Thai League 2
