Alverca vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
0:3
22/12/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 15
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
denmarkDenmarkBold+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
norwayNorwayVG+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.45
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
79% (255/321)89% (439/494)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.632.06
Total shots
814
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1225
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
128
Passes
79% (255/321)89% (439/494)
Long passes
38% (19/50)59% (24/41)
Passes in final third
69% (61/89)77% (114/148)
Crosses
26% (5/19)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.56
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
812
Tackles
50% (11/22)47% (9/19)
Duels won
5551
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
2.060.63
Goals prevented
-0.940.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Sainz B. ⚽, Mora R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Costa A. ↓, Moura F. ↑,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Varela A. ⚽,
  • 59', Pepê ↓, William Gomes ↑,
  • 59', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
  • 63', Sainz B. 🟨,
  • 67', Marezi ↓, Leite T. ↑,
  • 69', 0 - 3, Sainz B. ⚽, Moura F. (A),
  • 73', Lincoln ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
  • 75', Varela A. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
  • 80', Sainz B. ↓, Gul D. ↑,
  • 84', Figueiredo ↓, Felipe Lima ↑,
  • 84', Amorim ↓, Gui D. ↑,
  • 85', Abdulai S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alverca
10.4%		Draw
19.1%		Porto
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
9.8% 19.9% 70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.1% 18.6% 75.5%

Alverca - Porto Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 9.11 ↓
(9.66)		 4.92 ↑
(4.75)		 1.34
(1.34)		 5.8%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alverca - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Porto will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 62.1% – 93.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Alverca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Porto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Porto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Porto is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Alverca: Chiquinho (Injury) Diarra S. (Muscle Injury) Leo Chu (Injury) Mendes T. (Muscle Injury) Paulo A. (Inactive) Sandro Lima (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Porto: Bednarek J. (Yellow Cards) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zaidu (International duty) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alverca: Gomez S. (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alverca
    14.12.2025 Arouca - Alverca 1:0 ✺
    07.12.2025 Alverca - Nacional 1:0 ✺
    29.11.2025 Casa Pia - Alverca 0:2 ✺
    08.11.2025 Alverca - Rio Ave 1:1 ✺
    31.10.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Alverca 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Porto
    18.12.2025 Porto - Famalicão 4:1 ✺
    15.12.2025 Porto - Estrela da Amadora 3:1 ✺
    11.12.2025 Porto - Malmö 2:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Tondela - Porto 0:2 ✺
    04.12.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 1:3 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto16151035:43146
    2Sporting CP16132146:83841
    3Benfica16106033:102336
    4Gil Vicente1676321:111027
    5Braga1675428:151326
    6Famalicao1665520:13723
    7Vitoria Guimaraes1664616:21-522
    8Moreirense1563621:24-321
    9Estoril1655627:26120
    10Estrela1646620:24-418
    11Rio Ave1638519:28-917
    12Alverca1652916:27-1117
    13Santa Clara1544711:15-416
    14Nacional1544717:21-416
    15Casa Pia1635816:29-1314
    16Arouca1635817:39-2214
    17Tondela1523109:27-189
    18AFS16041211:41-304

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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