Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Joel ↓, Saldanha F. ↑,
- 39', Assis Cardoso R. H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Assis Cardoso R. H. ↓, Daniel J. ↑,
- 60', Oliveira J. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
- 63', Almeida F. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 63', Roger ↓, Arome ↑,
- 66', Daniel J. 🟨,
- 68', Lopes L. 🟨,
- 69', 🟨,
- 71', (Penalty Awarded),
- 75', Lobo G. 🟨,
- 79', Feliz ↓, Paciencia V. ↑,
- 79', Diarra M. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
- 90+1', Zangre A. ↓, Meireles A. ↑,
- 90+1', Innusah H. ↓, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Filipe J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Amarante
37.4% | Draw
33.4% | Trofense
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Amarante - Trofense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.72) |
2.76 ↓
(2.79) |
3.17 ↑
(2.68) |
8.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 2.
- Recent performances by Amarante have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Trofense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Trofense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Amarante won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 0.7:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amarante won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Trofense?
Amarante has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Amarante?
Trofense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Trofense were as follows:
25.01.2026
Amarante
-
Trofense
1:1
02.11.2025
Trofense
-
Amarante
0:1
10.11.2024
Trofense
-
Amarante
1:0
11.08.2024
Amarante
-
Trofense
1:0
Latest results of Amarante
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Amarante | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
