Arenteiro vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Arenteiro - Lugo
Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
610
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
38
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Pascu ,
  • 50', Ceberio J. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Ferreiro D. ,
  • 58', Pereira P. , Sanchez M. ,
  • 58', Gonzalez Y. , Martinez R. ,
  • 58', Ceberio J. , Afriyie J. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
  • 64', Rivelott Curro , Aguado T. ,
  • 71', Rodriguez E. , Perez S. ,
  • 72', Reniero N. , Mendoza B. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Borge A. (Own goal),
  • 82', Vidal D. , Vaquero ,
  • 84', Sanchez J. , Fernandez L. ,
  • 86', Ferreiro D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arenteiro
46.4%
Draw
28.9%
Lugo
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 29.7% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 28.9% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Arenteiro aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Arenteiro - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.04)
    3.21
    (3.1)
    3.7
    (3.64)
    8.3%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).
    • Arenteiro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Lugo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Arenteiro will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Arenteiro won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arenteiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arenteiro - Lugo were as follows:
    17.11.2024 Lugo - Arenteiro 1:1
    05.05.2024 Arenteiro - Lugo 1:3
    25.11.2023 Lugo - Arenteiro 0:1
    11.08.2023 Arenteiro - Lugo 1:1
    Latest results of Arenteiro
    13.04.2025 Arenteiro - Ourense CF 1:1
    05.04.2025 Leonesa - Arenteiro 1:0
    23.03.2025 FC Andorra - Arenteiro 1:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    19.04.2025 Lugo - Real Sociedad B 1:0
    13.04.2025 Real Unión de Irun - Lugo 3:0
    29.03.2025 Lugo - Ourense CF 0:2
    23.03.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife22005:056
    2Arenas Getxo21104:314
    3Pontevedra21102:114
    4Ponferradina21013:123
    5Racing Club Ferrol11002:113
    6Real Madrid B11002:113
    7Osasuna B11001:013
    8Merida AD21011:3-23
    9Cacereno20203:302
    10Zamora20201:102
    11Ath Bilbao B10100:001
    12Celta Vigo B10100:001
    13Ourense CF10100:001
    14Barakaldo20111:2-11
    15Lugo20111:2-11
    16Real Aviles20110:3-31
    17CF Talavera10011:2-10
    18Arenteiro10011:2-10
    19Unionistas10010:1-10
    20Guadalajara10010:2-20

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