Result
2:0
21/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 16
- Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (320/421) | 80% (317/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (320/421) | 80% (317/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/57) | 29% (17/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (57/102) | 67% (61/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Kurzawa R. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),
- 40', Hermoso K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Zapolnik K. 🟨,
- 57', Kurzawa R. 🟨,
- 60', Kocyla D. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
- 60', Szysz P. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
- 65', Nguiamba A. 🟥,
- 69', Jimenez J. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 69', Kurzawa R. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
- 74', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 74', Kerk S. ↓, Percan ↑,
- 75', Perea L. 🟨,
- 77', Zapolnik K. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
- 78', Gojny D. 🟨,
- 82', Gojny D. ↓, Abramowicz D. ↑,
- 84', Rusyn N. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 0, Kubica K. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),
- 90', Kubica K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Wolski M. ↓, Putivtsev A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
45.8% | Draw
27.2% | Arka Gdynia
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(2.03) |
3.44 ↓
(3.57) |
3.45 ↓
(3.52) |
6.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Arka will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Termalica: 50.8% – 88.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Arka (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Termalica Nieciecza will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 3 - 60%). Arka (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3.
- Termalica is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Termalica might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Arka: Oliveira J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Arka: Percan
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Arka Gdynia?
Termalica Nieciecza has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arka Gdynia won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Arka Gdynia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
04.05.2025
Arka Gdynia
-
Termalica Nieciecza
2:1
26.10.2024
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Arka Gdynia
2:1
11.12.2023
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Arka Gdynia
2:1
21.07.2023
Arka Gdynia
-
Termalica Nieciecza
2:2
03.06.2023
Termalica Nieciecza
-
Arka Gdynia
2:1
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
