Termalica Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 16
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.74
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
76% (320/421)80% (317/397)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.090.39
Total shots
710
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
2012
Passes
76% (320/421)80% (317/397)
Long passes
32% (18/57)29% (17/59)
Passes in final third
56% (57/102)67% (61/91)
Crosses
50% (5/10)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.75
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
1220
Tackles
64% (9/14)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5250
Clearances
1918
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.391.09
Goals prevented
0.39-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Kurzawa R. , Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 40', Hermoso K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Zapolnik K. 🟨,
  • 57', Kurzawa R. 🟨,
  • 60', Kocyla D. , Rusyn N. ,
  • 60', Szysz P. , Gaprindashvili T. ,
  • 65', Nguiamba A. 🟥,
  • 69', Jimenez J. , Strzalek I. ,
  • 69', Kurzawa R. , Fassbender M. ,
  • 74', Jakubczyk K. , Perea L. ,
  • 74', Kerk S. , Percan ,
  • 75', Perea L. 🟨,
  • 77', Zapolnik K. , Guerrero S. ,
  • 78', Gojny D. 🟨,
  • 82', Gojny D. , Abramowicz D. ,
  • 84', Rusyn N. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Kubica K. , Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 90', Kubica K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Wolski M. , Putivtsev A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
45.8%
Draw
27.2%
Arka Gdynia
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 26% 26.4%

Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.06
(2.03)
3.44
(3.57)
3.45
(3.52)
6.5%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Arka will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Termalica: 50.8%88.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3.
    • Termalica is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Arka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Termalica might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Arka: Oliveira J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Arka: Percan (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza 2:1
    26.10.2024 Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia 2:1
    11.12.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia 2:1
    21.07.2023 Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza 2:2
    03.06.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia 2:1
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    2Wisla Plock1778220:11929
    3Rakow1792626:22429
    4Jagiellonia1684428:20828
    5Cracovia1876525:21427
    6Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    7Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    8Zaglebie1767430:24625
    9Korona Kielce1765620:18223
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    12Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    13Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    14GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    15Motor Lublin1748522:27-520
    16Legia1747619:20-119
    17Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119
    18Piast Gliwice1645718:19-117

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          Relegation ~ Division 1