Arka Gdynia vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
113
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
11
Total shots
149
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
33
Corner Kicks
113
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
1331
Fouls
1615
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 32', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Fassbender M. ,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Sobczak S. (Pen),
  • 45+5', 2 - 1, Sobczak S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Isik G. , Zapolnik K. ,
  • 56', Nowakowski J. , Karasek K. ,
  • 57', Rzuchowski M. , Petrovic Z. ,
  • 68', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
  • 73', Strzalek I. , Biniek D. ,
  • 79', Oliveira J. , Kocyla D. ,
  • 79', Jakubczyk K. , Majchrzak J. ,
  • 79', Sobczak S. , Vitalucci H. ,
  • 82', Navarro M. 🟥,
  • 82', Biniek D. 🟨,
  • 85', Gaprindashvili T. , Stolc P. ,
  • 87', Wolski M. , Trubeha A. ,
  • 87', Spendlhofer L. , Kubica K. ,
  • 88', Zapolnik K. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Biniek D. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Celestine J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arka Gdynia
45.6%
Draw
28.1%
Termalica Nieciecza
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 26.8% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 26.6% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.9)
    3.31
    (3.49)
    3.58
    (3.87)
    7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arka won 0.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Arka is the team to beat.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Arka won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia 2:1
    11.12.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia 2:1
    21.07.2023 Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza 2:2
    03.06.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia 2:1
    06.11.2022 Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza 1:2
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla1292137:112629
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow1264225:141122
    3Grodzisk M1263325:17821
    4Slask Wroclaw1263320:18221
    5Polonia Bytom1262419:14520
    6S. Rzeszow1262421:19220
    7Chrobry Glogow1254318:13519
    8Odra Opole1245313:14-117
    9Ruch Chorzow1244417:19-216
    10Pogon Siedlce1243515:13215
    11LKS Lodz1243517:18-115
    12Polonia Warszawa1235419:21-214
    13Legnica1242616:25-914
    14Puszcza1218311:14-311
    15Tychy1232717:26-911
    16Stal Mielec1232716:26-1011
    17Leczna1216515:24-99
    18Pruszkow1230915:30-159

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2