Termalica Nieciecza vs Arka Gdynia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
2:0
21/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 16
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.74
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
76% (320/421)80% (317/397)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.090.39
Total shots
710
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
1625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
2012
Passes
76% (320/421)80% (317/397)
Long passes
32% (18/57)29% (17/59)
Passes in final third
56% (57/102)67% (61/91)
Crosses
50% (5/10)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.75
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
1220
Tackles
64% (9/14)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5250
Clearances
1918
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.391.09
Goals prevented
0.39-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Kurzawa R. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 40', Hermoso K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Zapolnik K. 🟨,
  • 57', Kurzawa R. 🟨,
  • 60', Kocyla D. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
  • 60', Szysz P. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
  • 65', Nguiamba A. 🟥,
  • 69', Jimenez J. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
  • 69', Kurzawa R. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
  • 74', Jakubczyk K. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
  • 74', Kerk S. ↓, Percan ↑,
  • 75', Perea L. 🟨,
  • 77', Zapolnik K. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
  • 78', Gojny D. 🟨,
  • 82', Gojny D. ↓, Abramowicz D. ↑,
  • 84', Rusyn N. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Kubica K. ⚽, Hilbrycht D. (A),
  • 90', Kubica K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Wolski M. ↓, Putivtsev A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
45.8%		Draw
27.2%		Arka Gdynia
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 26% 26.4%

Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.06 ↑
(2.03)		 3.44 ↓
(3.57)		 3.45 ↓
(3.52)		 6.5%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Arka will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Termalica: 50.8% – 88.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Arka (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Termalica Nieciecza will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Termalica (votes: 3 - 60%). Arka (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 3.
    • Termalica is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Arka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Termalica might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Arka: Oliveira J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Arka: Percan (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza 2:1
    26.10.2024 Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia 2:1
    11.12.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia 2:1
    21.07.2023 Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza 2:2
    03.06.2023 Termalica Nieciecza - Arka Gdynia 2:1
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    09.11.2025 Legia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza 1:2 ✺
    31.10.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice 0:3 ✺
    24.10.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin 1:1 ✺
    20.10.2025 Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza 3:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź 2:4
    Latest results of Arka Gdynia
    09.11.2025 Arka Gdynia - Lech Poznań 3:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Arka Gdynia 5:1 ✺
    30.10.2025 Arka Gdynia - Górnik Zabrze 1:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice 2:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia 4:0 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jagiellonia19105436:231335
    2Wisla Plock2089323:14933
    3Gornik Zabrze20103731:26533
    4Zaglebie2087533:27631
    5Cracovia2087527:22531
    6Rakow2093827:25230
    7Lech Poznan2078531:30129
    8Radomiak Radom1976635:30527
    9Korona Kielce2076724:22227
    10Piast Gliwice2075822:21126
    11GKS Katowice1982926:28-226
    12Lechia Gdansk2085741:39224
    13Motor Lublin2059626:33-724
    14Pogon Szczecin20641030:35-522
    15Arka Gdynia1964917:34-1722
    16Legia2048822:25-320
    17Widzew Lodz20621227:32-520
    18Termalica B-B20551025:37-1220

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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