Result
4:1
21/03/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | ESPN 4 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 4', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Escoto A. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Gomez Del Rosal N. (Pen),
- 36', 2 - 1, Escoto A. ⚽,
- 40', 3 - 1, Alvarez D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Vazquez I. ↓, Galindo A. ↑,
- 57', Alaffita Garcia E. J. ↓, Zurita Jimenez U. ↑,
- 61', Escoto A. 🟨,
- 64', Escoto A. ↓, Lorona L. ↑,
- 67', Saavedra J. 🟨,
- 69', Hernandez E. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 69', Jaimes U. ↓, Cota A. ↑,
- 70', Tamay A. ↓, Cardona U. ↑,
- 70', Alvarez D. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 74', Gomez Del Rosal N. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 1, Lorona L. ⚽,
- 80', Saavedra J. ↓, Gonzalez Mendivil J. E. ↑,
- 80', Aguilar M. ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
- 81', Soto A. 🟨,
- 83', Gutierrez L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Pastrana E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
64.5% | Draw
21.1% | Atlético La Paz
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-16.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tepatitlán de Morelos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.36) |
4.39 ↓
(4.78) |
6.38 ↓
(7.2) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tepatitlán will win (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 14).
- The competitors look crappy now.
- Atlético La Paz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Tepatitlán is absolute favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:5 (average 2.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 3.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Atlético La Paz?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Atlético La Paz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
04.10.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:5
23.01.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:0
05.10.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
4:0
15.01.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
3:0
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
