Result
0:1
01/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Millan O. ⚽, Barragan M. (A),
- 44', Chavez A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Illescas F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Vazquez I. ↓, Bass A. ↑,
- 46', Aguilar M. ↓, Munoz Z. ↑,
- 46', Chavez A. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 58', Millan O. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
- 59', Cerda J. 🟨,
- 67', Machado J. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 69', Del Aguila Y. 🟨,
- 72', Cerda J. ↓, Escoto A. ↑,
- 77', Illescas F. 🟨,
- 77', Munoz Z. 🟨,
- 77', Bass A. 🟨,
- 80', Cardona U. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
- 83', Munoz Z. 🟨,
- 84', Gutierrez L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Zurita Jimenez U. 🟨,
- 90+8', Escoto A. 🟨,
- 90+9', Zurita Jimenez U. ↓, Yanez J. ↑,
- 90+9', Barragan M. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
61% | Draw
20.8% | Atlético La Paz
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Atlético La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tepatitlán de Morelos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.62) |
4.44 ↑
(4.28) |
5.08 ↑
(4.27) |
8.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 4.
- Tepatitlán has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético La Paz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Atlético La Paz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tepatitlán is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 3.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Atlético La Paz?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Atlético La Paz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
21.03.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
4:1
04.10.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:5
23.01.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:0
05.10.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
4:0
15.01.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
3:0
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
