Result
01/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos 55.9% | Draw 22.4% | Atlético La Paz 21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↑ (1.62) |
4.08 ↓ (4.28) |
4.23 ↓ (4.27) |
9.3% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 4.
- Recent performances by Tepatitlán have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético La Paz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Atlético La Paz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tepatitlán is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 3.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Atlético La Paz?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Atlético La Paz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
21.03.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
4:1
04.10.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:5
23.01.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:0
05.10.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
4:0
15.01.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
3:0
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun ✔ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:5 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Atlante ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:9 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Tampico Madero ✔ | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Leones Negros | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Atl. Morelia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Venados | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:28 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 |
| 12 | Tapatio | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)