Result
1:1
10/04/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Ortiz Leon J. C. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Robles C. ⚽, Zurita Jimenez U. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 64', Del Aguila Y. 🟨,
- 65', Alvarez D. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 65', Del Aguila Y. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
- 66', Millan O. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 68', Illescas F. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 1, Mendoza B. ⚽,
- 73', Samano L. 🟥,
- 73', 🟨,
- 76', Soto A. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 76', Mendoza B. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 80', Gomez J. ↓, Gonzalez Calderon L. A. ↑,
- 86', Torres H. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético La Paz
42.7% | Draw
25.3% | Tepatitlán de Morelos
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético La Paz's performance.Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tepatitlán de Morelos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético La Paz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tepatitlán de Morelos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético La Paz - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.6) |
3.66 ↑
(3.51) |
2.9 ↑
(2.5) |
7.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético La Paz - Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tepatitlán will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Tepatitlán is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 2.
- Atlético La Paz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tepatitlán is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Atlético La Paz has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Atlético La Paz?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
01.11.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
0:1
21.03.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
4:1
04.10.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:5
23.01.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:0
05.10.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Atlético La Paz
4:0
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
