Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 21
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (233/322) | 76% (329/431) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (233/322) | 76% (329/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 18% (7/40) | 59% (34/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (54/97) | 59% (57/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 24% (7/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Mateju A. 🟨,
- 8', Simic L. 🟨,
- 25', Bandinelli F. ↓, Romano A. ↑,
- 26', 1 - 0, Artistico G. ⚽,
- 32', Romano A. 🟨,
- 36', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
- 37', Mateju A. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Adamo E. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
- 56', Palumbo M. 🟨,
- 64', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 68', Palmiero L. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
- 75', Soleri E. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
- 75', Valoti M. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 80', Cancellotti T. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
- 80', Tutino G. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 86', Fontanarosa A. ↓, Enrici P. ↑,
- 86', Biasci T. ↓, Patierno C. ↑,
- 89', Sala M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mv89eaxv
Chances of winning
Spezia
46% | Draw
29% | Avellino
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Spezia - Avellino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.12) |
3.22 ↑
(3.2) |
3.76 ↑
(3.5) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spezia - Avellino?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Avellino will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 12% – 65%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Avellino (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Avellino (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Spezia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Spezia (votes: 3 - 60%). Avellino (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3.
- Spezia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Avellino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Injury)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Avellino: Insigne R.
(Calf Injury)
Kumi J.
(Injury)
Rigione M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Avellino?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Spezia?
Avellino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Avellino were as follows:
25.10.2025
Avellino
-
Spezia
0:4
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54:25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Monza | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:22 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Padova | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Spezia | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23:35 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
