Result
0:4
25/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (318/376) | 87% (327/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 3.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 46 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (318/376) | 87% (327/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 46% (19/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (62/81) | 78% (110/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.04 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 44', Palmiero L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 46', Cassata F. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
- 46', Biasci T. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
- 46', Cagnano A. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
- 46', Missori F. 🟨,
- 61', Sounas D. ↓, Gyabuaa M. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Aurelio G. ⚽, Nagy A. (A),
- 66', Besaggio M. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 72', Soleri E. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 76', Missori F. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
- 80', Lapadula G. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
- 81', Aurelio G. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
- 81', Simic L. 🟨,
- 83', 0 - 2, Vlahovic V. ⚽, Esposito Sa. (A),
- 86', 0 - 3, Vignali L. ⚽,
- 88', Fellipe Jack ↓, Candela A. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 4, Di Serio G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Avellino
33.3% | Draw
30.8% | Spezia
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spezia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Avellino - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(3.18) |
3.1 ↓
(3.3) |
2.62 ↑
(2.14) |
5.2%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Avellino - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avellino: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 2.
- Recent performances by Avellino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Spezia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L.
(Knee Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Knee Injury)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Insigne R.
(Red Card)
Patierno C.
(Illness)
Rigione M.
(Muscle Injury)
Tutino G.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Broken Leg)
Zurkowski S.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Spezia?
Avellino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Avellino?
Spezia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Spezia were as follows:
Latest results of Avellino
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Padova | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Bari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
