Result
1:5
07/03/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (265/342) | 81% (418/516) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 3.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (265/342) | 81% (418/516) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (19/56) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (82/124) | 76% (134/176) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.28 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.72 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 12', 0 - 1, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Marcus Vinicius (A),
- 25', 0 - 2, Inagaki S. ⚽, Marcus Vinicius (A),
- 39', 0 - 3, Kimura Y. ⚽, Hara T. (A),
- 41', Okuno K. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Fujimoto K. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
- 46', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
- 53', Tashiro M. 🟨,
- 61', Tsujioka Y. 🟨,
- 61', Nago S. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 4, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Nakayama K. (A),
- 68', Oka T. 🟨,
- 80', Marcus Vinicius ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 81', Maejima Y. 🟨,
- 83', Tsujioka Y. 🟨,
- 87', Nakayama K. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
- 87', Inagaki S. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
- 87', Sato Y. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 87', Asano Y. ↓, Sugiura S. ↑,
- 88', Sato S. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 4, Oka T. ⚽,
- 90+6', 1 - 5, Mori S. ⚽, Fujii H. (A),
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
25.2% | Draw
28.4% | Nagoya Grampus
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avispa Fukuoka's form might have worsened.Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagoya Grampus's recent form is better than expected.
Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.72 ↑
(2.76) |
3.32 ↑
(3.11) |
2.08 ↓
(2.67) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Avispa Fukuoka (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Nagoya (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Nagoya (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nagoya (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
- Avispa Fukuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ben Khalifa N.
(Injury)
Miki T.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Injury)
Mateus
(Injury)
Morishima T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Izumi R.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Nagoya Grampus?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Nagoya Grampus has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
06.12.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:0
17.05.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:1
04.10.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:0
07.04.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:0
15.10.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
