Avispa Fukuoka vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.291.10
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
76% (302/396)75% (292/391)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.291.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.531.22
Total shots
712
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2015
Passes
76% (302/396)75% (292/391)
Long passes
37% (26/71)31% (22/71)
Passes in final third
65% (93/142)61% (72/118)
Crosses
20% (3/15)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.07
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
1520
Tackles
50% (7/14)67% (6/9)
Duels won
6740
Clearances
2719
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.220.53
Goals prevented
0.22-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Shiihashi K. 🟨,
  • 60', Mateus 🟨,
  • 64', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
  • 65', Mateus , Nagai K. ,
  • 65', Izumi R. , Asano Y. ,
  • 73', Konno K. , Fujimoto K. ,
  • 73', Shigemi M. , Akino H. ,
  • 77', Yamagishi Y. , Morishima T. ,
  • 79', Iwasaki Y. , Kanamori T. ,
  • 79', Maejima Y. , Yuzawa M. ,
  • 81', 0 - 1, Tokumoto S. , Nakayama K. (A),
  • 84', Nakayama K. , Nogami Y. ,
  • 84', Tokumoto S. , Uchida T. ,
  • 86', Nago S. , Hashimoto Y. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Kanamori T. , Fujimoto K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
33.1%
Draw
33.1%
Nagoya Grampus
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 31.6% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 31.3% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avispa Fukuoka's form might have worsened.
  • Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagoya Grampus's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagoya Grampus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.36)
    2.84
    (2.98)
    2.78
    (3.29)
    6.3%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Nagoya will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 19%81%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 4.
    • Recent form of Avispa Fukuoka has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nagoya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    07.04.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0
    15.10.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    11.10.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    16.09.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

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