Leyton Orient vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Brisbane Road (London).

League One - Round 26
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.43	0.97
Ball possession
39%	61%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
5	3
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
4	3
Passes
66% (178/271)	78% (346/442)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.43	0.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.19	1.18
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked shots
4	5
Shots inside the box
10	6
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
18	16
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
11	12
Passes
66% (178/271)	78% (346/442)
Long passes
37% (31/83)	49% (36/73)
Passes in final third
46% (46/101)	66% (105/159)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.99
Throw ins
25	25
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
63% (10/16)	65% (13/20)
Duels won
46	71
Clearances
27	33
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.18	1.19
Goals prevented
0.18	0.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Ballard D. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Salech Y. ⚽,
42', Kellyman O. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Archibald T. 🟨,
55', Tanner O. 🟨,
60', Bagan J. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
61', Tanner O. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
61', Craig M. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
75', Lloyd A. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
86', Robertson A. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Leyton Orient
24.7%

Draw
24.4%

Cardiff City
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

27.2%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

27.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leyton Orient - Cardiff City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.4)	3.83 ↑ (3.45)	1.84 ↓ (2.08)	7.3% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Cardiff City?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Cardiff (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Cardiff (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 9 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Recent form of Leyton Orient has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cardiff is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A. (Injury) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Ankle Injury) King E. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Leyton Orient: James T. (Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Cardiff City?

Leyton Orient has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Leyton Orient?

Cardiff City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Cardiff City were as follows:

04.10.2025 Cardiff City - Leyton Orient 4:3

Latest results of Leyton Orient

01.01.2026 Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon 1:3 ✺

29.12.2025 Luton Town - Leyton Orient 3:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Peterborough United - Leyton Orient 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Leyton Orient - Bradford City 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Barnsley - Leyton Orient 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Cardiff City

04.01.2026 Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic 1:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Cardiff City - Exeter City 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Lincoln City - Cardiff City 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship