Leyton Orient vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 26
  • Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.430.97
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
53
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
43
Passes
66% (178/271)78% (346/442)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
1.430.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.191.18
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
106
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1112
Passes
66% (178/271)78% (346/442)
Long passes
37% (31/83)49% (36/73)
Passes in final third
46% (46/101)66% (105/159)
Crosses
24% (4/17)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.99
Throw ins
2525
Fouls
1211
Tackles
63% (10/16)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4671
Clearances
2733
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.181.19
Goals prevented
0.180.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Ballard D. ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Salech Y. ,
  • 42', Kellyman O. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Archibald T. 🟨,
  • 55', Tanner O. 🟨,
  • 60', Bagan J. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 61', Tanner O. , Davies I. ,
  • 61', Craig M. , Abdulai A. ,
  • 75', Lloyd A. , Koroma J. ,
  • 86', Robertson A. , Robinson C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leyton Orient
24.7%
Draw
24.4%
Cardiff City
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.6% 27.2% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 27.1% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leyton Orient - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (3.4)
    3.83
    (3.45)
    1.84
    (2.08)
    7.3%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Cardiff City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Cardiff (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Cardiff (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.47%97.53%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Recent form of Leyton Orient has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cardiff is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A. (Injury) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Ankle Injury) King E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leyton Orient: James T. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Cardiff City were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Cardiff City - Leyton Orient 4:3
    Latest results of Leyton Orient
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two