Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Whaddon Road (Cheltenham).

League Two - Round 45
Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.71	1.78
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
22	14
Shots on target
8	4
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
64% (157/245)	68% (219/320)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71	1.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.72	2.38
Total shots
22	14
Shots on target
8	4
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
8	4
Shots inside the Box
17	10
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	4
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
50	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
17	10
Passes
64% (157/245)	68% (219/320)
Long passes
33% (23/70)	28% (18/65)
Passes in final third
64% (77/120)	58% (77/133)
Crosses
19% (5/27)	19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.25	1.47
Throw-ins
20	31
Fouls
10	17
Tackles
52% (11/21)	62% (13/21)
Duels won
77	70
Clearances
46	51
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
2.38	1.72
Goals prevented
0.38	-1.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', Dennis M. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽,
32', Breeze G. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Thomas J. (Pen),
33', Hayden A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Hay A. ⚽, Archer E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Haynes R. ↓, Power D. ↑,
59', Dulson L. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
59', Backwell T. ↓, Dieng T. ↑,
68', Ellis J. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
68', Wearne S. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Kelly G. ⚽, Embleton E. (A),
78', Bradbury T. ↓, Bakare I. ↑,
79', Hay A. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
79', Fusire S. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
79', Harper C. ↓, Dummett P. ↑,
82', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 2, Miller G. ⚽, Taylor M. (A),

Chances of winning

Cheltenham Town
34.9%

Draw
26.6%

Carlisle United
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

26.8%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

26.8%

31.6%

Cheltenham Town - Carlisle United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.25)	3.53 ↑ (3.48)	2.45 ↓ (2.95)	6.3% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Carlisle United?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Carlisle will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carlisle: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 3.
Recent matches Cheltenham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Carlisle is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Carlisle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H. (Knee Injury) Power D. (Hamstring Injury) Young L. (Injury)
There will not play in Carlisle: Davies A. (Injury) Dummett P. (Hamstring Injury) Jones J. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bowman R. (Inactive)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:12 (average 0.7:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.6:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Carlisle United?

Cheltenham Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Cheltenham Town?

Carlisle United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Carlisle United were as follows:

26.10.2024 Carlisle United - Cheltenham Town 0:1

09.04.2024 Cheltenham Town - Carlisle United 0:1

23.12.2023 Carlisle United - Cheltenham Town 0:1

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

21.04.2025 Notts County - Cheltenham Town 1:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Cheltenham Town - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town 2:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Cheltenham Town - Doncaster Rovers 0:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Morecambe - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Carlisle United

21.04.2025 Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United 1:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Carlisle United - Port Vale 3:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Morecambe - Carlisle United 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Carlisle United - Newport County 3:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Chesterfield - Carlisle United 2:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	18	11	2	5	28:18	10	35
2	Swindon	18	10	4	4	31:24	7	34
3	MK Dons	18	9	5	4	35:20	15	32
4	Notts Co	18	9	4	5	30:20	10	31
5	Bromley	18	8	6	4	28:22	6	30
6	Gillingham	19	7	8	4	26:20	6	29
7	Cambridge Utd	18	8	5	5	20:16	4	29
8	Salford	18	9	2	7	24:25	-1	29
9	Colchester	19	7	7	5	28:21	7	28
10	Chesterfield	18	7	7	4	32:29	3	28
11	Crewe	18	8	3	7	27:24	3	27
12	Grimsby	18	7	5	6	32:25	7	26
13	Fleetwood	18	7	5	6	27:26	1	26
14	Barnet	18	6	7	5	22:19	3	25
15	Tranmere	18	5	8	5	30:27	3	23
16	Oldham	18	5	8	5	16:13	3	23
17	Accrington	18	5	6	7	21:22	-1	21
18	Barrow	18	5	5	8	18:23	-5	20
19	Crawley	18	4	5	9	22:30	-8	17
20	Shrewsbury	18	4	5	9	18:31	-13	17
21	Bristol Rovers	18	5	2	11	15:31	-16	17
22	Cheltenham	18	5	2	11	14:32	-18	17
23	Harrogate	18	4	4	10	17:28	-11	16
24	Newport	18	3	3	12	18:33	-15	12

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League